In the last couple weeks I've seen quite a few Nintendo fans expecting Zelda U in 2014 some even going as far as to say that it's pretty much announced for that year until Nintendo says something else, I honestly feel that the chances of this happening are close to zero and I want to explain why now.
First lets look at who makes the Zelda games inside of Nintendo, Software Development Group 3.
They have since 2006 made 7 games, 3 of which are handheld Zeldas, 1 is Links Crossbow Training, 1 is a remake and 2 are fullfledged console Zelda games. The console Zeldas have been 5 years apart and the last one was only 2 years ago, combine that with the fact that this team has just released 2 games in the last 3 months and it becomes highly improbable that a new console Zelda title will be ready before 2015. That assumption is only supported by the rising time of development for HD games, which is something Nintendo reportedly only just finally understood in the first half of 2013.
Now even if we for a second assume that Nintendo could get the game ready in 2014, would it even make sense to release that year? We know that the Wii U is not doing so hot, so it might sound weird to some people that Nintendo should not release all their games as fast as possible, but look at what is coming out for the console in 2014 already: MK, Smash and DK plus a couple third party exclusives. 2014 looks good for the Wii U at least from an exclusive games perspective, so why should they fire all their big guns at once and release Zelda that year as well? Give people Zelda U plus a new 2D Mario and the new IP Nintendo is working on in 2015 and you have 2 great years softwarewise back to back.
So I personally believe that Zelda U will be a holiday 2015 game.
Opinions?