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Forums - Sales Discussion - 9 mln. PS3 by the end of 2007? =)

I believe that PS3 shell 600k or more in the last week of year. See my predictions:

Wii +1M -> ~19.5M
360 +600k -> ~16.3M
PS3 +600k -> ~9.0M

PS3 and 360 will have very closed sales.



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8,41 + 0,18 (Others) + 0,12 (USA) + 0,05 (JAP) = 8,76 million



leo-j said:
I expect 8.9M for next week.

Something tells me Nort american sales might have been undertracked though.

 For the Wii maybe, probably not the PS3 or 360



 

Predictions:Sales of Wii Fit will surpass the combined sales of the Grand Theft Auto franchiseLifetime sales of Wii will surpass the combined sales of the entire Playstation family of consoles by 12/31/2015 Wii hardware sales will surpass the total hardware sales of the PS2 by 12/31/2010 Wii will have 50% marketshare or more by the end of 2008 (I was wrong!!  It was a little over 48% only)Wii will surpass 45 Million in lifetime sales by the end of 2008 (I was wrong!!  Nintendo Financials showed it fell slightly short of 45 million shipped by end of 2008)Wii will surpass 80 Million in lifetime sales by the end of 2009 (I was wrong!! Wii didn't even get to 70 Million)

Last month WIi and X360 were overtracked and PS3 undertracked ....and the numbers hasnt been changed ....



@avinash

No maybe its been OVERTRACKED for wii. I hate your trollish comments seriously, talon man just said there's a chance the wii has been over tracekd severley.
Lets just get along.



 

mM
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Holiday sales don't tend to keep up after the main event (that being Christmas). In fact, if you look at historical data, the drop-offs start immediately after Christmas and stay lower until mid-November of the next year. There's all of 2 days' worth of sales during this current week which will count towards holiday sales, and I cannot see many last-minute shoppers going for a $400 to $500 console (especially when it's not supply-constrained; I've yet to see a shop out of stock of PS3s). I'm not really one to make predictions, but I think it's a safe bet that the PS3 will manage sub-400,000 next week. Probably quite a bit less, if historical trends are any indicator (and they usually are).



Sky Render - Sanity is for the weak.

ethomaz said:
I believe that PS3 shell 600k or more in the last week of year. See my predictions:

Wii +1M -> ~19.5M
360 +600k -> ~16.3M
PS3 +600k -> ~9.0M

PS3 and 360 will have very closed sales.

 No way, this week is generally a significant drop from the week before. Not to mention the Wii's stock has gone already - they dont have another million to sell.



Hell hath no fury like a woman scorned for Sega. - Jason Lee, Mallrats.

http://theaveragejoe.sportsblognet.com/ - Mainly American Football, snippets of Basketball, European Football and Hockey. 

The wii wont sell 1M next week, its IMPOSSIBLE to ship 1M in one week.  That would mean nintendo is produing 4 million a month as opposed to 1.8 M.

 I expect 600k for wii next week, 500k for ps3, and 500k for X360.



 

mM

Your estimate is optimistic for all 3, leo-j. With only 2 days of holiday sales for this week, and consoles being luxury goods which people tend to seek out earlier than later if at all possible, the odds are much better of seeing ranges like this:

Wii: 200,000 to 600,000 (depends very heavily on supply remaining; I'm betting on lower numbers, as a quick crunch shows that their stockpile is heavily depleted to say the least)
360: 100,000 to 250,000
PS3: 100,000 to 250,000

Holiday sales drop off dramatically after Christmas; it's a historical fact. Only when a console is supply-constrained and in high demand do you see any potential for continued high sales after the holidays. So far, only a handful of consoles have ever managed that, and to my knowledge, the Wii is the only one to ever do that 2 years running.



Sky Render - Sanity is for the weak.

The sales drop in NA but not so much in Europe and Japan .The Japan holidays start posterior to ours (just started some 10 days ago) and in Europe the Christmas gifts arent usually very expensive ,the expensive ones are more for new year and specially for 5 january that is our thanksgiving day in many countries (although not all of them ) .