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Sony FY 2011 Predictions

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I think I'm being pretty conservative on these numbers.

So Socom is still a major franchise for Sony. Not their biggestest.

Also Socom's decline could be due to the massive library of games on the PS2 as the series went on.
Confrontation was a terrible game in it's first 2 to 3 months.



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kowenicki said:
psrock said:
kowenicki said:
Socom 4.... 2 or 3 million?

Socom has a fanbase.


Yeah a diminishing one, and dont for get he is talking about less than 1/2 years sales here... presuming this game hits autumn he expects 2-3m in 6 months?

SOCOM 1 - 3.44m

SOCOM 2 - 2.65m

SOCOM 3 - 1.55m

SOCOM navy seals PS3 - 0.99m

plus MAG has shown how hard this genre struggles with sales....

 

This gen is tricky, you never know.



Sony didn't market Socom : Confrontation well...
Since Socom 4 is a Move launch title it should sell 2 mil LTD at least.
If Sony advertises Move and Socom 4 well.



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psrock said:
kowenicki said:
psrock said:
kowenicki said:
Socom 4.... 2 or 3 million?

Socom has a fanbase.


Yeah a diminishing one, and dont for get he is talking about less than 1/2 years sales here... presuming this game hits autumn he expects 2-3m in 6 months?

SOCOM 1 - 3.44m

SOCOM 2 - 2.65m

SOCOM 3 - 1.55m

SOCOM navy seals PS3 - 0.99m

plus MAG has shown how hard this genre struggles with sales....

 

Didn't you say the same thing about GOW?


nope.. dont think so.  but even if I did this is a totally different situation.



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Judging by the footage of SOCOM 4 it has alot better graphics and is more mainstream now.. + hardcore fanbase = 4mil sales LTD + possible first hardcore game with move = 4.5-5m LTD



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BHR-3 said:
kowenicki said:
Socom 4.... 2 or 3 million?

luagh out loud i was the 1st to say this a couple of weeks ago except i say near 3 by end of 2010 so by next march i think it will be 3m if not passed it will make a thread bout it when the holidays come hope to see u in it

 

OP 15M PS3 shipped seems about right maybe even 16M

dont care about the other feilds u have yet to comment

 


unfortunately you wont be able to make that thread.. but if you do... I'm man enough to turn up. 

I dont sulk or get defensive when my predictions go wrong...



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gamelover2000 said:
Judging by the footage of SOCOM 4 it has alot better graphics and is more mainstream now.. + hardcore fanbase = 4mil sales LTD + possible first hardcore game with move = 4.5-5m LTD

But move can make hardcore fans turnaway too. :D but 4mil is very very high mark.. i think 2 mil look alright thats also if its advertise properly... FPSes r too many n i think loyal fanbase is more of a myth for SOCOM now.. u can have loyal fanbase only if u r churning out a title a year of same quality.. 



My guess is they will forecast 14 millions units shipped and will adjust the forecast depending on the holydays.

14 millions is doable as they starting the 2011 financial year with PS3 low on stock at most US retailers. So to ship 14 millions units they most likely only have to sell 12.5 to 13 million units...



PS3-Xbox360 gap : 1.5 millions and going up in PS3 favor !

PS3-Wii gap : 20 millions and going down !

kowenicki said:
psrock said:
kowenicki said:
Socom 4.... 2 or 3 million?

Socom has a fanbase.


Yeah a diminishing one, and dont for get he is talking about less than 1/2 years sales here... presuming this game hits autumn he expects 2-3m in 6 months?

SOCOM 1 - 3.44m

SOCOM 2 - 2.65m

SOCOM 3 - 1.55m

SOCOM navy seals PS3 - 0.99m

plus MAG has shown how hard this genre struggles with sales....

 

How does MAG show anything about Socom's genre or struggles? One is an online only FPS while the other is a full offline campaign + online TPS.

Socom Confrontation was also not made by Zipper and was online only. Socom 4 will be a full fledged title made by Zipper as well as be the first true installment of the series on the PS3.

 

There is also the chance that the newly created MAG fanbase, since I highly doubt all MAG players are part of the old Socom faithful, will probably flock over to Socom 4 along with the old Socom faithful.

Just saying, declining sales of a series that had 3 games on the previous console doesn't guarantee anything.



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Well the PS2 had 4 Socom games, but Combined Assault came out the year the PS3 was unveiled.

But I'm confident Socom 4 will hit 2-3 million units within the FY.