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Forums - Sales Discussion - Pachter predicts the price of Natal and best selling game of 2010..

Ok, so what are the implications if Natal is cheaper than a Wiimote+Nunchuck?

Seriously, folks, let's be real about this. Because if Natal is released for $50-60, I'm going to have to ... ok, wait. We still need to see some games and applications, but I'm sorry folks this could be big, Big, BIG!!!!!!!!!!



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Halo Reach won't be the best seller, obviously because of NSMB wii, but for the Xbox 360 an obvious yes.
Natal for $50? Wow.



                                  

                                       That's Gordon Freeman in "Real-Life"
 

 

Halo will be huge regardless of how good it is, but it will be absolutely massive if the graphics are state of the art and has an excellent campaign to go with the obligatory multiplayer, I would even buy it.

Natal, I really could care less, being that I am not 12 years old.



Fuck... I'm dead!

He sounds like some of the people on this site.


I agree with everything he said.



Well, if Natal does launch for $50 it would be about the price of a controller, which seems like a price more people would be willing to pay for... a controller. That's what it is, if it was something ridiculous like $150, like a decent fightstick, then it might end up selling like one (one that's heavily marketed). He may actually be right on that one but I'd put it a little higher.

As for the bestselling game. It's NSMBW, no contest. Halo Reach won't sell 8-9 million this year. It could do that life time, but it certainly won't outdo Halo 3, with it's $200 million ad campaign and more years on the market.



"Now, a fun game should always be easy to understand - you should be able to take one look at it and know what you have to do straight away. It should be so well constructed that you can tell at a glance what your goal is and, even if you don’t succeed, you’ll blame yourself rather than the game. Moreover, the people standing around watching the game have also got to be able to enjoy it." - Shiggy

A Koopa's Revenge II gameplay video

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Natal will be $80-$100 dollars.



                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   

If if thats cheap then it's confirmed its nothing more than a glorified eyetoy.



Perhaps Microsoft will be willing to launch Natal at $50 (even if it's at a loss) just to get it into 360 owner's homes? I personally don't see it selling for that low, but if it's intended to be a loss to generate sw sales of Natal games then I could see it.



Bah!

Rpruett said:
So Natal is going to cost less than....a wireless adapter? 0_o . It will be a cold day in hell, IMHO.


Why not? I actually think Natal will be $60, not $50.  But having it cheaper than a wireless adapter wouldn't surprise me at all.  The wireless adapter does not sell games, it does not have games made for it, and it does not have its own marketing campaign.  MS wants to see Natal used with every 360 console, if they felt the same way about wifi then it would be standard or alot cheaper.  Xbox 360 for the most part is a fps machine (look at XBL games played and top sales) and most gamers know that wifi is prone to connection issues whereas hardwired is not.  Natal on the otherhand.. it is supposed to be essential to the next step of "jumping in."