Official 2020 US Election: Democratic Party Discussion

[Bofferbrauer2]

Jaicee said:

Just a casual note today: Elizabeth Warren has now moved up to second place in the Real Clear Politics polling average for the first time. Now she has polled in second place before in individual surveys, but not in the recent polling average overall. Until now. As of now the RCP polling averages of the candidates are:

Biden: 30.8%
Warren: 18.3%
Sanders: 16.5%
Harris: 8.3%
Buttigieg: 6.5%
Others: 2% or less

I don't suspect this move up the ladder for Warren will last. It's clearly just the effect of the last debate and will probably evaporate over the month with Sanders retaking second place by the time we get to the next debate in September because this clearly WANTS to be a race specifically between Biden and Sanders, but still it's the first time this has happened, so thought it worth casually noting anyway.

Warren was slowly rising for about 3 months now. This is pretty much just the continuation of this rise and not due to the last debate. In the last ones, Bernie barely edged her out. But Bernie was also rising up a bit, and that was due to the debate.

Just look at her ratings over time on the Wikipedia page:

As you can see, Warren was constantly rising since April. The first debate actually slowed her down, but now, it's going up again. She's clearly winning the majority of the votes that Harris is loosing right now, but also Sanders and Buttigieg are winning some to a lesser degree.

It sounds to me almost like you have trouble to believe that she could win because she's a women