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According to the Sony dichiaration, PS4 is undertracked this year, by around 200,000 (VGChartz have PS4 at 20.2M, but 18.7M by end of 2014, when we knoe that Sony have annunced 18,500,000).
We know that 100,000 undertracked is for the US, so, we have around 100,000 undertracked for the Europe (or other).

I don't see PS4 to be overtracked, i think that is spot on (if not undertracked, by a smaller number's, but still undertracked)

So, seem that XBO is overtracked, in UK, and very probabily even in Rest of Europe...