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Well... the DS top 10 has sold (at a glance) about 176 million LTD. The PSP has sold about 280 million software units to date. So... it's not an easy thing to do by any means, but it's certainly possible depending on how big the 3DS's blockbusters are and how hard the Vita flops.

It's far too early to call. The DS had six games with over 15 million sales. Right now the 3DS has two games that will most likely exceed that amount and two more that have some small chance of doing so. Pokémon will be big, but will it be big enough?

It hardly matters. The fact that we are seriously having this discussion at all tells you everything you need to know about the state of the 3DS/Vita war. It lasted 38 minutes.