Miyamotoo said: There is couple of things why they predicting this: -Nintendo consoles in any case always have biggest boost in sales in October-December period compared to PS/XB consoles, its not unusal that Nintendo hardware has similar or better sales in October-December period than combined sales of rest 3 quarters of year -Pokemon and Smash Bros are one of strongest Nintendo IPs and they are both releasing in same quarter, both will be 10m sellers and combined will sell tons of consoles, so on point that Nintendo hardware always have huge boost in any case during Holiday season you can add one of two biggest Nintendo IPs -Switch is still selling at launch price point whithout game, and Nintendo last year didnt had any deals, Nintendo will probably this year start releasing bundles with one game for same price point (probably for Black Friday and Holiday season), and if its needed maybe even and price cut. So they predict Switch will have very strong sale during October-December period that will beat PS4 difference that will lead to that period of year. |
Switch last year sold 2m+ through September and 4.8m YTD.
PS4 commonly sells ~5m so Switch will have to beat that.
Assuming Switch matches last year through September, then we are looking at a 3m+ October-December period. It's certainly possible if Nintendo keeps up stock, but it could be difficult. And that is assuming PS4 is down YoY.