Many online journalists seem to be suggesting that 2010 is the biggest year of this generation because it is the year Sony and Microsoft supply their answer to Wii's motion controls and Nintendo loses its edge in the market. However, they mostly ignore and have less anticipation for the Wii's answer to continually striving for uniqueness this year: the Vitality Sensor. None of these hardwares so far have released details about what their software line-up is going to look like (unless you include what would have been this thumb-ache), so this is all based on ideas behind the technologies themselves and how people will perceive them.
I myself am willing to predict that the Wii Vitality Sensor will overshadow both the 360 Natal and the Sony Arc. Here are my 10 commandments of why this will be so.
- Motion controls on the Wii will have been available 4 years by the end of this year
- MotionPlus+ will have been available for a full year
- They have been supported by high-quality Nintendo software (high-quality Third-Party software too)
- Both 'casual' and 'hardcore' gamers will have titles to make them purchase MotionPlus+ well before the end of this year
- Arc is too close to an imitation of the Wiimote to stand out
- Natal will have significant problems with application because of its intangible-style interface
- Vitality Sensor, Arc and Natal are now all expected to release late 2010 (Arc has lost its major advantage)
- Vitality Sensor is the new technology this year and will stand out because of it
- As with 3., it will be supported by high-quality Nintendo software in its induction
- Nintendo knows how to advertise, and advertise well