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Forums - Sales Discussion - Both Wii and PS3 will not sell below 200k consoles in weekly sales in 2010.

kowenicki said:
@papflesje

i know i saw that.... but there is no confirmation yet and even if it does exist... it aint moving any hardware thats for sure.

That and on the topic of existent or not, Killzone 3 won't move consoles either. It'll just sell to the userbase.



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kowenicki said:
Cross-X said:
kowenicki said:
@papflesje

i know i saw that.... but there is no confirmation yet and even if it does exist... it aint moving any hardware thats for sure.

That and on the topic of existent or not, Killzone 3 won't move consoles either. It'll just sell to the userbase.


yep agreed

so in summary this thread OP is wrongly wrong!

Also would you agree though that both the PS3 and Wii will show  more consistent hardware weekly sales than the 360? Meaning without large drops from it's previous week etc.

And what think of my previous post on which games move harware?



i feel like ive seen this before



I think KZ3 will do what Uncharted 2 did. If KZ3 actually comes into being and is a significant improvement on KZ2 (from a graphics perspective a significant improvement would be pretty amazing to see, but if it is a gameplay and SP mode improvement then that would be pretty good too). KZ2 undersold compared to its quality and didn't shift many PS3s. But it did give the KZ name some kudos. KZ3 can cash in on that kudos and perhaps do better at moving hardware than KZ2 did.

But in terms of the prediction about not falling below 200K during 2010 it's not about the release weeks for big games, because any HW boosting effect is short lived being 3 weeks at best, more like 2 weeks and often only 1 week. So talking of games it's all about the general apeal of the game library and whether the overall list of games maintains a baseline of sales above a certain level. If the prediction is that X console won't fall below Y weekly sales number then the week before any big game release needs to be above Y, not the week that a big game releases. All the big games mentioned should help the baseline a bit, esp GT5. But we know the baseline is mostly about console price.

Early in 2009 someone predicted 360 wouldn't go below 150K in 2009, and we know how that prediction worked out, it spent a long time below 150K and even got below 100K for one week. Now there is a prediction that PS3 will maintain a baseline 50K higher than the failed 2009 360 prediction. Seems a bit unlikely to me. Seems more like a prediction made to fail, as in "Oh look PS3 is only selling in the mid 100Ks, thats way below what I predicted, must mean PS3 is having a bad year."



“The fundamental cause of the trouble is that in the modern world the stupid are cocksure while the intelligent are full of doubt.” - Bertrand Russell

"When the power of love overcomes the love of power, the world will know peace."

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I think both will go under 200k, 150k would be a better prediction imo.



 

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in the slow weeks they will both go below 200k and probably be like 30k apart from each other. the 360 will probably be way down to like below 100k



depends what month will gran turismo 5 will be released...

if in summer like mgs4 and before that was gow3 and ff13 in march maybe but we will see



Lol... this is highly unlikely, I won't say impossible, the Wii should manage it IMO, I see it having a better year than 2009.
The PS3 will certainly have a better year than 2009, but after the slim release it had already gone down to 250k in one of the better times of the year.



TheSource said:

Wii and PS3 should have a smoother year - i.e. higher weekly lows and lower weekly highs.

DS is the only machine that won't dip under 200k/week this year. That said I don't think Wii will spend many weeks under 200k and PS3 probably won't spend many weeks under 135k or so.

All hardware is going to be down in 2010 though. In terms of certainty I'd go PS2/PSP for sure, DS/X360 probably, and Wii/PS3 very likely.

PS3 should be up YOY from Jan through August, I would have thought.



That prediction might make sense for the Wii.

For the PS3 its a bit risky to say that...