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Forums - Sales Discussion - Will the ps3 outsell the wii in japan 2010? and by how much?

 

Will the ps3 outsell the wii in japan 2010? and by how much?

Yes, by a lot! 38 9.84%
 
Yes, by a little 80 20.73%
 
No, by a little 110 28.50%
 
No, by a lot! 158 40.93%
 
Total:386
ps3_jrpg_gamer on 05 January 2010

only GT5 and YAKUZA 4 in march will create the same phenomenon as last year (march/april)



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kitler53 on 05 January 2010

i said yes by a little but most of my reasoning is flat out wishful thinking. xD



bluesinG on 05 January 2010

Nope.



Cheebee on 05 January 2010

I actually agree with Soriku.



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BrandonM on 05 January 2010
Soriku said:
No.

The PS3 is riding the momentum from the Slim but it won't have the same momentum it had this year during the second half since most of the effect will be worn out by that time. It could be up YoY Q1/Q2 but definitely not Q3/Q4. Wii will probably be up Q1/Q2 but not Q3/Q4.

Most of the big games for PS3 are in Q1/Q2 besides Versus (Winter 2010?) which won't have the impact that FF XIII had. GT5 is a big title but the series has been in decline in Japan. Otherwise you have sequels like Yakuza 4 which won't push HW too much after 3 other Yakuzas released and some smaller RPGs which won't do too much either.

Next year the Wii should probably be getting Inazuma Eleven Break, MH3G, probably a DQ remake/spinoff, then SMG2, Zelda (maybe) and whatever else all for the second half most likely. I think Nintendo may be riding on NSMB to carry the Wii Q1/Q2 though...

How much is "by a little" or "by a lot" though? I didn't vote.

I agree Soriku plus we don't even know Nintendo's full line-up (looking at Excitebots, Punchout, Pikachu's Pokepark) because they announce games 4 to 3 months before release:p



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RageBot on 05 January 2010
Soriku said:
No.

The PS3 is riding the momentum from the Slim but it won't have the same momentum it had this year during the second half since most of the effect will be worn out by that time. It could be up YoY Q1/Q2 but definitely not Q3/Q4. Wii will probably be up Q1/Q2 but not Q3/Q4.

Most of the big games for PS3 are in Q1/Q2 besides Versus (Winter 2010?) which won't have the impact that FF XIII had. GT5 is a big title but the series has been in decline in Japan. Otherwise you have sequels like Yakuza 4 which won't push HW too much after 3 other Yakuzas released and some smaller RPGs which won't do too much either.

Next year the Wii should probably be getting Inazuma Eleven Break, MH3G, probably a DQ remake/spinoff, then SMG2, Zelda (maybe) and whatever else all for the second half most likely. I think Nintendo may be riding on NSMB to carry the Wii Q1/Q2 though...

How much is "by a little" or "by a lot" though? I didn't vote.

By a little = something like this year.

By a lot = A difference of 33% precent.



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ps3_jrpg_gamer on 05 January 2010

ps3 will win january-february-march-april-may-june(ar-tonelico 3,end of eternity,last rebellion,star ocean 4,yakuza 4,gran turismo 5 etc)
if Versus 13 is released autumn 2010/winter 2010 ps3 will win over the Wii that time
as SMG2 has no cerrtain release date and so Zelda an so no other Monster Hunter and nothing is said for DQX since announcement long ago



Solid_Snake4RD on 05 January 2010

YES BY LITTLE



jarrod on 05 January 2010
ps3_jrpg_gamer said:
ps3 will win january-february-march-april-may-june(ar-tonelico 3,end of eternity,last rebellion,star ocean 4,yakuza 4,gran turismo 5 etc)
if Versus 13 is released autumn 2010/winter 2010 ps3 will win over the Wii that time
as SMG2 has no cerrtain release date and so Zelda an so no other Monster Hunter and nothing is said for DQX since announcement long ago

Naw, Wii has Jan in the bag.  Sustained NSMBWii sales alone pretty much ensure that.  Plus RE DSC is a bigger release than anything on PS3 for the period (including Ar Tonelico 3 and Last Rebellion, neither of which will crack 100k).

I think PS3 will probably take Feb and definitely March though.  We don't know enough about Q2 to really say either way yet, but Sony's pretty much blowing their load in Q1 (like last year).



Avinash_Tyagi on 05 January 2010

It all comes down to NSMB Wii in Q1 and even some of Q2, and then in Q3 and Q4, you have things like the vitality sensor and a resurgence of NSMB Wii next holiday, so Wii will likely easily win over the PS3



 

Predictions:Sales of Wii Fit will surpass the combined sales of the Grand Theft Auto franchiseLifetime sales of Wii will surpass the combined sales of the entire Playstation family of consoles by 12/31/2015 Wii hardware sales will surpass the total hardware sales of the PS2 by 12/31/2010 Wii will have 50% marketshare or more by the end of 2008 (I was wrong!!  It was a little over 48% only)Wii will surpass 45 Million in lifetime sales by the end of 2008 (I was wrong!!  Nintendo Financials showed it fell slightly short of 45 million shipped by end of 2008)Wii will surpass 80 Million in lifetime sales by the end of 2009 (I was wrong!! Wii didn't even get to 70 Million)