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Soriku said:
No.

The PS3 is riding the momentum from the Slim but it won't have the same momentum it had this year during the second half since most of the effect will be worn out by that time. It could be up YoY Q1/Q2 but definitely not Q3/Q4. Wii will probably be up Q1/Q2 but not Q3/Q4.

Most of the big games for PS3 are in Q1/Q2 besides Versus (Winter 2010?) which won't have the impact that FF XIII had. GT5 is a big title but the series has been in decline in Japan. Otherwise you have sequels like Yakuza 4 which won't push HW too much after 3 other Yakuzas released and some smaller RPGs which won't do too much either.

Next year the Wii should probably be getting Inazuma Eleven Break, MH3G, probably a DQ remake/spinoff, then SMG2, Zelda (maybe) and whatever else all for the second half most likely. I think Nintendo may be riding on NSMB to carry the Wii Q1/Q2 though...

How much is "by a little" or "by a lot" though? I didn't vote.

By a little = something like this year.

By a lot = A difference of 33% precent.



Bet with Dr.A.Peter.Nintendo that Super Mario Galaxy 2 won't sell 15 million copies up to six months after it's release, the winner will get Avatar control for a week and signature control for a month.