At the end of the day, M$ have 8.5% of the current gen home console market and 10.6% of the current gen home console software market. They`ve built up a nice little niche for themselves in the Japanese market. The 1.2 million figure looks bad but not so much when you convert it into a percentage ad realize just how much the home console market over there shrunk compared to last gen.
A rough comparison of last gen to this gen in Japan.
The Wii has been out in Japan for 36 months so I`m going to use the first 36 months in each console`s lifespan as a comparison.
Wii`s first 36 months (Dec 06 - Dec 09): 8,927,960
PS3`s first 36 months (Nov 06 - Nov 09): 3,964,722
X360`s first 36 months (Dec 05 - Dec 08): 888,983
Wii Gen 36 months total: 13,781,665
PS2`s first 36 months (Mar 00 - Mar 03): 12,266,129
GC`s first 36 months (Sept 01 - Sept 04): 3,450,953
DC`s first 36 months (Nov 98 - Nov 01): 2,202,203
Xbox`s first 36 months (Feb 02 - Feb 05): 468,793
PS2 Gen 36 months total: 18,388,078
If we go by these figures, this home console gen is 75% the size of last gen. So 25% smaller. And keep in mind that the Wii owns like 60+% of the current gen. That doesn`t leave much pie for the so-called `core consoles`compared to last gen. The PS2 after 3 years has more than double the Ps360 figures combined in Japan. It`s clear that the tastes of the Japanese gamer are drastically changing. Though with PS3 gaining momentum in Japan as of late it`ll be interesting to see how ground the so-called `core`market can make up now.
So 360 has 8.5% this gen whereas Xbox had only 2.5% last gen (after 3 years). Big improvement. As of late though, the 360 has been on a downward trend so that 8.5% will shrink. After a superb August with Magna Carta II and Dream C Club moving hardware (it beat PS3 that month to boot), it was all downhill for the 360 in Japan when the PS3 slim launched and hardware share went down to 5-6% post ps3 slim. The 360 needs fresh blood in Japan (and that`s where M$ should be coming in with first-party IPs like Blue Dragon, Lost Odyssey and some new ones but they won`t. They want the third-parties to do everything). Shmups and visual novels aren`t going to be enough to give the 360 significant hardware boosts anymore. You need something bigger than that. And Bayonetta`s software sales were strong on 360 but it didn`t give it much of a hardware boost since it`s multi-plat. Only the truly hardcore crazies would buy a 360 just to play 100% rated Bayonetta as opposed to 95% Bayonetta. Software wise, the 360 is still performing very well though post-slim. It`s clear that they have a loyal following of hardcore gamers that will continue to support 360 software.