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Forums - Sales - how many copies will upcoming games sell

Special Mentions: (the ones I forgot)
Silent Hill: Shattered Memories: 450k
New Super Mario Bros Wii: 17mil
Wii Fit Plus: 13mil
Wii Sport Resort: 16mil



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Released :

Uncharted 2 : 3.5 - 4.0 Ltd

Forza 3 : 3.0 - 4.0 Ltd

Modern Warfare 2 ( 360 ) : 8.5 - 10 Ltd

Modern Warfare 2 ( PS3 ) : 5.5 - 6.0 Ltd

Left 4 Dead 2 : 2.5 - 3 Ltd

Upcoming :

Mass Effect 2 : 1.5 - 2.5 Ltd

Splinter Cell : 2 Ltd

God of War 3 : 2 - 3 Ltd

Allen Wake : 3 - 4 Ltd

Heavy Rain : 1 - 1.25 Ltd

Gran Turismo 5 : 8 - 12 Ltd

Halo : Reach : 8 - 12 Ltd



Who's the best Pac, Nas, and Big. Just leave it to that.

PLAYSTATION®3 is the future.....NOW.......B_E_L_I_E_V_E

Slaughterhouse Is The Sh*t  .... NOW ........ B_E_L_I_E_V_E

morenoingrato said:
Uncharted 2: 5mil (massive hype)
Forza 3: 3.5mil
Modern Warfare 2 360: 11mil
Modern Warfare 2 PS3: 6mil
Left4dead 2: 2.5 mil
Halo: 6 mil
(why is Nintendo ignored?)
Upcoming
Gran Turismo: 12mil
God of war: 4mil
FFXIII: 13mil
Mario Galaxy 2: 7.5mil
Metroid: 1.5 mil
Dragon Quest X: 2mil Japan & 3.5mil LTD
Monstee Hunter III: 3.5mil ( seems to appeal America more)

It's hard to predict Nintendo games due to their strong legs.



Rockstar: Announce Bully 2 already and make gamers proud!

Kojima: Come out with Project S already!

^^^ galaxy 2 WON'T outsell one, wii has less urserbase in Japan, Metroid gis back to it's original style but wii's fanbase is weird



hudsoniscool said:

you can also estimate how many copies games that recently came out will sell.                                                       

games that have already come out

uncharted 2 ~4m 3.5m, but if it has the same legs as the first, 4-4.5m

forza 3~5m 3.5-4m

modern warfare 2 360 ~9m 12-14m

modern warfare 2 ps3~6m 7-9m

left for dead 2 ~4m I agree

halo odst ~5.5m(i think when reach beta is about to come out sales will boast. I would agree

games to come out

mass effect 3m 4m

splinter cell conviction 3.5 m 3-3.5m

god of war 3 3m(god of war did 3m and 2 did less) 3.5-4m The hype among PS3 owners is huge

allen wake 1.5m 2m I think this could surprise us

heavy rain 1m 750,000. The market for this game is limited, however this could be a sleeper.

fable 3 3m 3-3.5m

battlefield bad company 2 4m for each console 2m for PS3, 3m for 360 give or take a half million for both consoles

gran torismo 5 7m 10m This game will be big across all regions and would likely be the best selling PS3 game this generation.

halo reach 13m 10-13m I agree, this game will be big and 360 owners love them some Halo.

avp 1.5 m(for each console) I've never actually considered it, so no comment.                                                                                                                                      

In addition:

Final Fantasy XIII: 6m for the PS3, 5m for the 360

Of course these are rough estimates and will change.



2011 Predictions

Wii: 17m (100 million total)

360: 13m (63 million total)

PS3: 15m (61 million total)

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GreyianStorm said:
DarkisWR said:

uncharted 2 - 3.5million at best.

forza 3- 3.7-4.3million

modern warfare 2 360 -9-11million easy.

modern warfare 2 ps3- 4million..tops.

left for dead 2 - 4-4.8million

halo odst -4.6 million...agree itll probliy get a great boost reach beta time.

games to come out

mass effect 7million firm.

splinter cell conviction 3-5.4 million

god of war 3 4-6.2million...depending if sony fans actully put thier money where thier mouths are this time*example..kz2/uc2 sales...very dismal vs thier qualitiy/hype and sheer amount of fanboyism*

allen wake 2.9 million

heavy rain 1.6million...Niche game for Niche gamers.

battlefield bad company 2 3.5-6.1million 360/2.3million PS3

gran torismo 5 3-5.5million

avp 1.3 million 360...300-475k PS3

Modern Warfare 2 to sell 4 million on ps3 tops? It is already at 3.95 million at the end of Black Friday week. You saying between Black Friday and MW3 it will only sell 50,000 units? That is the worst prediction I have ever seen.

To say Uncharted 2's sales to date have been "very dismal" is a terrible assessment. It is around 1.8 million already and is set to do ~2.25 million by year end. That is by no means a "very dismal" showing.

 

Alan Wake 2.9 million vs Heavy Rain 1.6 million? You say that HR is a "niche game for niche gamers"? The same things could (and perhaps should) be said about Alan Wake at this stage, as it is by no means a completely mainstream game.

Bad Company 2 to sell 2.5ish times on Xbox 360 vs PS3? Considering at the last update it was more like 1.75:1, I think 2.5:1 is pretty absurd. PS3 userbase is closer to 360 in terms of ratio now, and BFBC2 beta is on the PS3.

 

Gran Turismo 5: 3-5.5 million? You are figuring it might sell less than GT5: Prologue? Just what the f....?

AVP to sell 4:1 on 360 vs PS3? I can only see that happening if the sales are in the region of ~200000 for 360 and ~50000 for PS3, in which case it has no significance whatsoever.

L4D2 4-4.8 million? So double the original? Seems a little excessive to me.

Mass Effect 2: 7 million? Why...just why?

Ahem...

I try to low-ball on many of them....more so seeing that after the xmas season I think certain already out titles will not be selling like hot cakes anymore.

 

I most certainly didnt realize that I had put 4milln mw2 for ps3...so scrath that. and toss in about 6milln...I just dont see it doin more than that regardless of the install base of the ps3.

 

As for BF2...I just don't think it will do that well on ps3..and thats just my opinion..don't like owell.

AW is more mainstreamed than HR....*even thou I'm more all for HR* therfore I felt itll sell alot better than HR.

Uc2...yup...for the critics to the rabid fans...its current amount sold isn't that great...more so when compared to other equaliy hyped/advertized games.

 

I do think l4d2 will do double than lfd1....hell...take a look at its sales so far.

GT5....I was just putting a guess even if its compleatly wrong...to be honest It could sell great and then again...be a fail...time will tell...take a look at gears of war 1 vs 2....and thats how i feel about gt.

 

Avp will bomb...Im not even sure it will get any sort of sales...not even thinking it will reach 1milln.

ME2...why you ask???...well...I think it's gonna be quite the seller. And you never know.

Didnt realize that youd be a lil upset just like a few others if someone low balled/highballed some numbers..so glad this forum is open to all to post.



alan wake 4.5 mill tops? yeah ok its a new ip and plus it kind of looks like ghostbusters

and halo reach will do 6 to 8 mill



CGI-Quality said:

 

 

Forza 2 did 4m WITH bundles. Without heavy bundling, I don't see Forza 3 doing 4mill. Graphics WILL NOT translate into sales either.


forza is not about graphics. the graphics in it isn't that good its is more about gameplay and fun. forza 3 is the first racing game i actually like.



 

 

DarkisWR said:
GreyianStorm said:
DarkisWR said:

uncharted 2 - 3.5million at best.

forza 3- 3.7-4.3million

modern warfare 2 360 -9-11million easy.

modern warfare 2 ps3- 4million..tops.

left for dead 2 - 4-4.8million

halo odst -4.6 million...agree itll probliy get a great boost reach beta time.

games to come out

mass effect 7million firm.

splinter cell conviction 3-5.4 million

god of war 3 4-6.2million...depending if sony fans actully put thier money where thier mouths are this time*example..kz2/uc2 sales...very dismal vs thier qualitiy/hype and sheer amount of fanboyism*

allen wake 2.9 million

heavy rain 1.6million...Niche game for Niche gamers.

battlefield bad company 2 3.5-6.1million 360/2.3million PS3

gran torismo 5 3-5.5million

avp 1.3 million 360...300-475k PS3

Modern Warfare 2 to sell 4 million on ps3 tops? It is already at 3.95 million at the end of Black Friday week. You saying between Black Friday and MW3 it will only sell 50,000 units? That is the worst prediction I have ever seen.

To say Uncharted 2's sales to date have been "very dismal" is a terrible assessment. It is around 1.8 million already and is set to do ~2.25 million by year end. That is by no means a "very dismal" showing.

 

Alan Wake 2.9 million vs Heavy Rain 1.6 million? You say that HR is a "niche game for niche gamers"? The same things could (and perhaps should) be said about Alan Wake at this stage, as it is by no means a completely mainstream game.

Bad Company 2 to sell 2.5ish times on Xbox 360 vs PS3? Considering at the last update it was more like 1.75:1, I think 2.5:1 is pretty absurd. PS3 userbase is closer to 360 in terms of ratio now, and BFBC2 beta is on the PS3.

 

Gran Turismo 5: 3-5.5 million? You are figuring it might sell less than GT5: Prologue? Just what the f....?

AVP to sell 4:1 on 360 vs PS3? I can only see that happening if the sales are in the region of ~200000 for 360 and ~50000 for PS3, in which case it has no significance whatsoever.

L4D2 4-4.8 million? So double the original? Seems a little excessive to me.

Mass Effect 2: 7 million? Why...just why?

Ahem...

I try to low-ball on many of them....more so seeing that after the xmas season I think certain already out titles will not be selling like hot cakes anymore.

 

I most certainly didnt realize that I had put 4milln mw2 for ps3...so scrath that. and toss in about 6milln...I just dont see it doin more than that regardless of the install base of the ps3.

 

As for BF2...I just don't think it will do that well on ps3..and thats just my opinion..don't like owell.

AW is more mainstreamed than HR....*even thou I'm more all for HR* therfore I felt itll sell alot better than HR.

Uc2...yup...for the critics to the rabid fans...its current amount sold isn't that great...more so when compared to other equaliy hyped/advertized games.

 

I do think l4d2 will do double than lfd1....hell...take a look at its sales so far.

GT5....I was just putting a guess even if its compleatly wrong...to be honest It could sell great and then again...be a fail...time will tell...take a look at gears of war 1 vs 2....and thats how i feel about gt.

 

Avp will bomb...Im not even sure it will get any sort of sales...not even thinking it will reach 1milln.

ME2...why you ask???...well...I think it's gonna be quite the seller. And you never know.

Didnt realize that youd be a lil upset just like a few others if someone low balled/highballed some numbers..so glad this forum is open to all to post.

The reason people came down on you is because you're not being realistic. You're not taking into account preorder data and past trends. If ME1 couldn't sell 7 million, why should 2? And look at previous Gran Turismo games, how they sold. GT5: Prologue is above 4 million sales (according to PD's website), so imagine GT5 sales, especially when you look at GT4:P sales.



Rockstar: Announce Bully 2 already and make gamers proud!

Kojima: Come out with Project S already!

Knoxcore said:
hudsoniscool said:

you can also estimate how many copies games that recently came out will sell.                                                       

games that have already come out

uncharted 2 ~4m 3.5m, but if it has the same legs as the first, 4-4.5m

forza 3~5m 3.5-4m

modern warfare 2 360 ~9m 12-14m

modern warfare 2 ps3~6m 7-9m

left for dead 2 ~4m I agree

halo odst ~5.5m(i think when reach beta is about to come out sales will boast. I would agree

games to come out

mass effect 3m 4m

splinter cell conviction 3.5 m 3-3.5m

god of war 3 3m(god of war did 3m and 2 did less) 3.5-4m The hype among PS3 owners is huge

allen wake 1.5m 2m I think this could surprise us

heavy rain 1m 750,000. The market for this game is limited, however this could be a sleeper.

fable 3 3m 3-3.5m

battlefield bad company 2 4m for each console 2m for PS3, 3m for 360 give or take a half million for both consoles

gran torismo 5 7m 10m This game will be big across all regions and would likely be the best selling PS3 game this generation.

halo reach 13m 10-13m I agree, this game will be big and 360 owners love them some Halo.

avp 1.5 m(for each console) I've never actually considered it, so no comment.                                                                                                                                      

In addition:

Final Fantasy XIII: 6m for the PS3, 5m for the 360

Of course these are rough estimates and will change.

On the American preorder charts, FFXIII on PS3 is higher than the Xbox 360. Taking that into account + Others regions, which is Sony territory on the software front + Japan, Final Fantasy's biggest region, where it is exclusive to PS3, 5 million is unlikely for 360, honestly.



Rockstar: Announce Bully 2 already and make gamers proud!

Kojima: Come out with Project S already!