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Forums - General - Why I Don't Think we Should be Spending Money on Climate Change.

SamuelRSmith said:
Sardauk said:

2008 was the record year for CO2 released by man.

It has been said several times... the more you delay... the more it will costs...

USA and China are using coal now... it is getting worse ...

 

The problem is bigger than global warming... it is the way we consume the ressources of the south, more than what it can be produced.

 

You are delaying the problem... just what the North is doing for 40 years now...your kids/grand-gids shall pay for you...

Is that figure trending at a greater pace than world economic growth?

Read my last paragraph 

Like I said in my OP, what makes people not yet born more important than those who are already suffering today? We don't have unlimited resources to spend on aid, so why spend it on the future, when we could spend it (more effectively, as well) on saving people who are alive today? 

hang on,dont people USUALLY try and make the future better...i mean isnt it very shortsited to just htink "oh well who cares if it happens in 50 years time,ill be dead by then"



"They will know heghan belongs to the helghast"

"England expects that everyman will do his duty"

"we shall fight on the beaches, we shall fight on the landing grounds, we shall fight in the fields and in the streets, we shall fight in the hills; we shall never surrender"

 

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SamuelRSmith said:
twesterm said:
I think we should spend all that money on preventing the world ending in 2012 instead...and eliminating Tyra Banks.

So, um, I Google Tyra Banks, and I get this - http://static.fameball.com/imgcache/5/33/0

Are you gay?

Umm..... no



@kowenicki

Wow. People who "don't believe in global warming" will be talking about that forever.

They are doing bad science if they falsified the results, bringing down the reputation of all scientists. Unless someone can show otherwise, assume they were acting alone and doing it for personal gain: getting more funding. There is plenty of evidence for a warming trend, and zero accepted [by peer review and time] evidence for a cooling trend, but people will certainly take this the wrong way.

The UEA isn't a respected university, it is a converted polytechnic with no history of good results in climate change or any science.

I would love for global warming to be a myth. But I have yet to be shown that it is, and there continues to be evidence and consensus in the IPCC and other scientific organisations that it exists.



Soleron said:
@kowenicki

Wow. People who "don't believe in global warming" will be talking about that forever.

They are doing bad science if they falsified the results, bringing down the reputation of all scientists. Unless someone can show otherwise, assume they were acting alone and doing it for personal gain: getting more funding. There is plenty of evidence for a warming trend, and zero accepted [by peer review and time] evidence for a cooling trend, but people will certainly take this the wrong way.

The UEA isn't a respected university, it is a converted polytechnic with no history of good results in climate change or any science.

I would love for global warming to be a myth. But I have yet to be shown that it is, and there continues to be evidence and consensus in the IPCC and other scientific organisations that it exists.

Here is the problem.

If the UEA falsfied data... why wasn't this pointed out in peer review?

Even if the UEA didn't release it's data, other cliamte scientists should be able to know when it's data doesn't match with theirs and mention that it's off as such.

In another form of science, manipulated data would likely not make it through most journals even withholding data.



Kasz216 said:
Soleron said:
...

Here is the problem.

If the UEA falsfied data... why wasn't this pointed out in peer review?

Even if the UEA didn't release it's data, other cliamte scientists should be able to know when it's data doesn't match with theirs and mention that it's off as such.

In another form of science, manipulated data would likely not make it through most journals even withholding data.

There should be an independent external review, by the journal it was published in, and when that reports we can start judging them. At the moment there it isn't clear how big the problem is, and a lot can be taken out of context. Not defending them if it was a genuine cover-up.



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Soleron said:
Kasz216 said:
Soleron said:
...

Here is the problem.

If the UEA falsfied data... why wasn't this pointed out in peer review?

Even if the UEA didn't release it's data, other cliamte scientists should be able to know when it's data doesn't match with theirs and mention that it's off as such.

In another form of science, manipulated data would likely not make it through most journals even withholding data.

There should be an independent external review, by the journal it was published in, and when that reports we can start judging them. At the moment there it isn't clear how big the problem is, and a lot can be taken out of context. Not defending them if it was a genuine cover-up.

Most of these emails are from a long time ago... they go as far back as 1996.

I don't know about you... but usually peer reviews take a few weeks at most for the author to get back... with papers deemed inaccurate not published.



I think some people are failing to see my point, here.

The cost of fighting climate change is very expensive, I don't know exact figures but according to (http://www.junkscience.com/MSU_Temps/Kyoto_Count_Up.htm) it's costing around $100k per billionth of a potential degree Celsius saved, as the site points out, it'll cost $100 trillion at this rate to "save" 1 degrees Celcius by 2050

World GDP is ~$60 trillion, world GDP doubles around every 15 years at current trends, which will mean world GDP will be around $164 trillion by 2050.

Looking at these basic facts we can see that it would be a much smarter idea, from a cost-benefit point of view, if we waited until 2050 to tackle the issues. Of course, you have to consider that the longer you wait, the more it's going to cost - but the cost of technology will fall and the power will increase so rapidly that we will find it much easier to tackle climate change then rather than now, meaning that the cost could actually go down.

What I'm saying is that rather than spending $100k to prevent the temperature from potentially rising 1 billionth of a degree by 2050, when it could cost us $75k to do it in the future, we should spend that $100k on fighting malaria, or buying condoms, to stop the spread of HIV/AIDs.

And I'm short-sighted for thinking this way?



No. Your absolutely right.

People can't see the forest for the trees.



Back from the dead, I'm afraid.

SRS, I think many of the technologies that would reduce or mitigate global warming are needed to cause that doubling of GDP. Such as cheaper/more efficient energy and fuel. I don't think you can separate the issues.

If not from there, where will the GDP increase come from? Inflation? As we've seen, a lot of the GDP increase over the last few years has been artificial in terms of financial 'paper gains' that evaporate when the debts are called in during a recession.



SRS. The cost of technology only falls when that technology is produced - sitting on our hands isn't going to make removing CO2 cheaper - investing in cheaper ways to remove CO2 is going to make removing CO2 cheaper.

Also your link is broken so I can't see where that number came from but it better have some pretty good methodology to back it up, otherwise it would seem like a person just playing with stats.