I absolutely had to have the Pirates of the Carribean movies (Wanted Spiderman movies pretty bad too)--and they are only on blu-ray.
Overall, they're about equal on the movie page though--blu-ray has a slight more amount of releases to date.
Pretty much Paramount, Dreamworks, Univeral vs. Sony, Fox, Disney, & Buena Vista
All have great flicks, I preferred the blu-ray flicks (as many here also prefer the HD-DVD flicks--different strokes for different folks)
Also there are new rumors about Warner going blu-ray exclusive (and New Line is very tight with Warner)
http://www.homemediamagazine.com/news/html/breaking_article.cfm?article_id=11449.
Don't know which will last, but HD-DVD seems like the bigger risk. At this point, regardless of who "wins" the format war--blu-ray is here to stay because of the ps3's on the market and the sole adoption of blu-ray outside of the US.
Don't know that anyone can give a 100% answer to you at this point--but for the investment, I'll take the safe route--and that's blu-ray. (The bonus is you getting a gaming machine in the process)
Well, I now only have access to a PS3 & 360...Plan on buying a wii soon (lol, if I can ever find one available!) but will probably wait until some of the major RPG's come out like Dragon Quest & Tales, etc.
Anyhow, I'm so far behind in games to play that I'm not in a huge hurry (lol, haven't even gotten a chance to finish God of War II yet!)