This thread is brilliant.
A massive crow festival.
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LOL I totally missed Japan!! I was about on track in Others and under in Americas...I can only say that this game is a monster!
To be fair I would have probably underestimated it as well, but not to the huge degree that some have managed I hope!
Someone predicted only 10 million lifetime sales for this game, I MEAN WHAT. It's already two thirds of the way to 10 million already!
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Maybe we should go around linking people to their predictions, so they can come account for them.
Like a Nazi Tribunal of sorts?
The proposition is an appealing one.
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| Khuutra said: Maybe we should go around linking people to their predictions, so they can come account for them. |
Excellent idea. But it's always sad to know how stupid we are :(
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| oliist said: First week WW 2.1 Million Lifetime WW 17-20 Million |
Tempus fugit Nintendo manet.
Level 1 - Newbie
Level 2 - Member - Pass 1k
Level 3 - Regular - Pass 2k
Level 4 - Addicted - Pass 5k
Level 5 - Obsessed - Pass 10k
Level 6 - Old Guard - Pass 20k
Level 7 - Legend - Pass 50k
Level 8 - Demi-God - Pass 100k
Level 9 - God - Pass 250k
Level 10 - Zeus - Pass 500k
New Table:
Level 1 - Newbie
Level 2 - Rookie - Pass 1k
Level 3 - Padawan - Pass 10k
Level 4 - Sea Dog - Pass 25k
Level 5 - Captain - Pass 50k
Level 6 - Agent - Pass 100k
Level 7 - Elite - Pass 175k
Level 8 - Hero - Pass 250k
Level 9 - Legend - Pass 500k
Level 10 - Titan - Pass 1 Million
oliist said:
This guy knows how to predict first week sales. But his Lifetime estimates are too low. ![]() |
Indeed. Oliist is good at predictions. But I still find it funny that noone at all predicted higher sales than the game actually got. Noone at all.
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I was surprisingly close on Americas and Others (off 100K, or 4% in Americas, and off 78K, or 6% in Others).
I was, however, completely off on Japan. It performed around 140% more than I predicted it to do. It looks like Japan sank most predictions, whereas Others and Americas was somewhat close.
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