I dont agree with them... they say that wii-mote is going to get destroyed by Natal but nothing about sony's magical wand??!? that tells you something is going on >_>

for europes largest retailer they are pretty stupid

This is the tech obsessed mindset that my mother was rolling her eyes at in her college days. Back then, the computer geeks were gushing about how housewives would want to learn binary. Those same people bashed mice for being too simple compare to command lines.

In short, they don't get why some tech catches on and some don't.

'Solar powered cellphones?'.

Already on the market in Japan.

Well, thanks for this list, I needed the laughs. Each of these can reasonably be shot down.

>1. DVD players

This is so not happening. VCRs really only disappeared a year or 2 ago. And, as movies are still coming out on DVD, the players will easily be around until at least 2015.

>2. Fax machine

Eh, I think this one is on borrowed time already, but businesses are stubborn things. The corporate structure is what's keeping these alive, and there's no real push to get rid of them. They may become harder to find soon, but they won't be gone.

>3. Analogue TV

Yes, digital TV is the norm. But going in and removing the analog signal, while a reasonable thing, would require an immeadiate redesign of all TVs on the market, coupled with discontinuance of the old ones. By the end of 2010, I do think that no new models will come with one anymore, but the older ones will keep it in. Or, making it more interesting, there will remain this one weird company who keeps them in for international sales in some of the lesser-developed areas.

>4. The landline phone

I'm sure if the cell companies had their way, this would already be gone. Again, though, even if these go away for the personal user (which I would hate, they're so much more reliable), corporate structure will keep the landline around for several years. Isn't it nice being able to have 1 phone that can answer 6 lines and make a page throughout the building? Cell phones just can't do that.

>5. Mobile phone charger

Wait... what? Either you suggest that nobody will ever charge a cell phone again (hilarious), that solar will take over (not dependable in emergency), or that cell phones will switch over to using a standard battery ala AA (lol, wut). People need a way to keep their phone charged.

>6. Wii-mote

So let me get this straight- Natal becomes a huge success, coming out in late 2010, and doing so well that Nintendo decides to fold up the Wii before the year ends, and recall all stock? That's not happening. The market leader will not simply be up and gone from the store shelves by the end of 2010. In fact, we'll see the same 5 systems all sitting there. (I do think the PS2 is on its last legs, though.)

>7. Sat Navs

Unless the laws about cell phone use while driving suddenly disappear (while the current trend is pushing more through), people will need to keep their GPS to navigate. Granted, I still prefer the old map method, and a cell phone may help in a pinch, but it's not going to be able to replace the device which is designed for such. Besides, what do you do if someone calls? You know the idiots are going to answer their phone...

>8. Dongle

Define 'dongle.' A USB drive is a type of dongle, and it's certainly not going away. Even simpler things like wireless dongles will stay around for people who don't want to muck around inside an older computer to make it wireless. It may be obsolete for new computers, but those older systems just stick around...

>9. The computer mouse

I see... Natal took off again. And even at $40 (below where many expect it to come in at), this is going to replace the cheap person's $5 mouse. And a touch screen is even more. Until you can make it just as user friendly for the same price, there will always be demand for something cheaper.

>10. Chip and pin credit cards

Wait, I can go into a store and just buy a credit card off the shelf? Sweet, I could use a higher credit limit! Seriously, though, not going to happen. Everyone seems to be moving toward cashless transactions. Most banks offer a debit Visa/MC to let you access your money in any store that accepts them. And the act of swiping the card does take time, so I think the chips are still going to keep increasing in popularity, and more places will start getting readers for them. The other direction I can it going is keychain cards. But that's a different thing entirely...

'This is so not happening. VCRs really only disappeared a year or 2 ago. And, as movies are still coming out on DVD, the players will easily be around until at least 2015.'.

Blu ray is getting cheaper and most players are BC. No real need for DVD only players to exist.

^Yeah, but how many people are going to throw out their DVD players that they already own?

"^Yeah, but how many people are going to throw out their DVD players that they already own?"

Only the audiophiles. The mainstream needs something other than just prettier pictures. It's not like the jump to color, where they could actually make out details that just to be just slightly lighter gray versus slightly darker.

"So let me get this straight- Natal becomes a huge success, coming out in late 2010, and doing so well that Nintendo decides to fold up the Wii before the year ends, and recall all stock? That's not happening. The market leader will not simply be up and gone from the store shelves by the end of 2010. In fact, we'll see the same 5 systems all sitting there. (I do think the PS2 is on its last legs, though.)"

That is what they don't get. The Wii is in the lead. It's stil making money. It has the games selling it (even though they stumbled with a few). We don't know what killer app NATAL has. Unless it has one, people aren't flocking to it.