By using this site, you agree to our Privacy Policy and our Terms of Use. Close

Forums - Nintendo Discussion - Why New Super Mario Bros. Wii WILL NOT sell 11 million in less than a year.

Avinash_Tyagi on 08 November 2009

NSMB Wii is going to spread fast due to people going to other people's houses and playing it, that's why the multiplayer is so important because like with Wii sports people will play it in groups with their friends and then go out an buy it for themselves



 

Predictions:Sales of Wii Fit will surpass the combined sales of the Grand Theft Auto franchiseLifetime sales of Wii will surpass the combined sales of the entire Playstation family of consoles by 12/31/2015 Wii hardware sales will surpass the total hardware sales of the PS2 by 12/31/2010 Wii will have 50% marketshare or more by the end of 2008 (I was wrong!!  It was a little over 48% only)Wii will surpass 45 Million in lifetime sales by the end of 2008 (I was wrong!!  Nintendo Financials showed it fell slightly short of 45 million shipped by end of 2008)Wii will surpass 80 Million in lifetime sales by the end of 2009 (I was wrong!! Wii didn't even get to 70 Million)

Around the Network
angrypoolman on 08 November 2009
Pyro as Bill said:
Keep it up joelcool7. Your words are going to haunt you.

I just checked the ages in the betting thread and noticed that nearly all the 'less than 11M' guys aren't old enough to remember the release of SMW and have no idea about the hype that surrounded SMB3. I understand now why you don't think it will make 11M but you Palstation kids are about to learn a lesson from the King of Games.

dude, there is no where near the amount of hype for NSMB Wii that there was for SMB3. Come on, now. SMW was bundled with the super as well.

i dont doubt Nintendo's greatness; if anyone can pull this off, it will be them, trust me i know that. but only 3 games in the past ten years have been able to pull off these numbers.



angrypoolman on 08 November 2009
Avinash_Tyagi said:
NSMB Wii is going to spread fast due to people going to other people's houses and playing it, that's why the multiplayer is so important because like with Wii sports people will play it in groups with their friends and then go out an buy it for themselves

i think that is a good point. hopefully that will make sales go up a bit.



Avinash_Tyagi on 08 November 2009

^Then why does Iwata believe it'll be near 10 million by the end of FY 2009?



 

Predictions:Sales of Wii Fit will surpass the combined sales of the Grand Theft Auto franchiseLifetime sales of Wii will surpass the combined sales of the entire Playstation family of consoles by 12/31/2015 Wii hardware sales will surpass the total hardware sales of the PS2 by 12/31/2010 Wii will have 50% marketshare or more by the end of 2008 (I was wrong!!  It was a little over 48% only)Wii will surpass 45 Million in lifetime sales by the end of 2008 (I was wrong!!  Nintendo Financials showed it fell slightly short of 45 million shipped by end of 2008)Wii will surpass 80 Million in lifetime sales by the end of 2009 (I was wrong!! Wii didn't even get to 70 Million)

angrypoolman on 08 November 2009
Avinash_Tyagi said:
^Then why does Iwata believe it'll be near 10 million by the end of FY 2009?

Isnt that number supposed to be attributed to copies shipped?

even if he did believe it will sell that many, i dont know why. why dont you enlighten us?



Around the Network
Avinash_Tyagi on 08 November 2009
angrypoolman said:
Avinash_Tyagi said:
^Then why does Iwata believe it'll be near 10 million by the end of FY 2009?

Isnt that number supposed to be attributed to copies shipped?

even if he did believe it will sell that many, i dont know why. why dont you enlighten us?

the 10 million is shipped, but I doubt they'll let millions of NSMB's just sit on the shelf, so he's probably expecting 8.5 million plus sold

As I've pointed out, the word of mouth and playing with friends will be bigger than any marketing could be for this game



 

Predictions:Sales of Wii Fit will surpass the combined sales of the Grand Theft Auto franchiseLifetime sales of Wii will surpass the combined sales of the entire Playstation family of consoles by 12/31/2015 Wii hardware sales will surpass the total hardware sales of the PS2 by 12/31/2010 Wii will have 50% marketshare or more by the end of 2008 (I was wrong!!  It was a little over 48% only)Wii will surpass 45 Million in lifetime sales by the end of 2008 (I was wrong!!  Nintendo Financials showed it fell slightly short of 45 million shipped by end of 2008)Wii will surpass 80 Million in lifetime sales by the end of 2009 (I was wrong!! Wii didn't even get to 70 Million)

angrypoolman on 08 November 2009
Avinash_Tyagi said:
angrypoolman said:
Avinash_Tyagi said:
^Then why does Iwata believe it'll be near 10 million by the end of FY 2009?

Isnt that number supposed to be attributed to copies shipped?

even if he did believe it will sell that many, i dont know why. why dont you enlighten us?

the 10 million is shipped, but I doubt they'll let millions of NSMB's just sit on the shelf, so he's probably expecting 8.5 million plus sold

As I've pointed out, the word of mouth and playing with friends will be bigger than any marketing could be for this game

well i hope it sells extremely well.. i just dont see it pulling off these numbers still. i guess we are just gonna have to wait



Demotruk on 25 December 2009
Joelcool7 said:

I totally agree, only a blind fanboy would be dissilusioned enough to believe that NSMBW will outsell SuperMarioGalaxy in a single year. I mean sure I expect NSMBW to sell probubly about 10-11 million in its lifetime sales but I highly doubt it will out perform every home mario game since the SNES. I mean come on lifetime sales of SuperMario64 were only 11 mill.

Honestly some fanboys believing that NSMBW will outsell Galaxy, Sunshine , Mario64. Yes I know Super Mario World reached lifetime sales of over 20-million. Yes I know that NewSuperMarioBros:DS is nearing the 20-million mark too. However I highly doubt that NSMBW will sell more then NewSuperMarioBros:DS did in its first year.

It's just not going to happen. I am so sure of it that I was willing to bet my sig and avatar for 3-months. It won't happen!


Damn, I wish I had seen this post when you made it...

 

I guess you're not still willing to take this bet?



A game I'm developing with some friends:

www.xnagg.com/zombieasteroids/publish.htm

It is largely a technical exercise but feedback is appreciated.

vonboysp on 25 December 2009

it's so hilarious that the op basically got himself permabanned.

i guess he won't be able to attend the crow-feast i'm preparing.



come try out the computer game i've been working on for my high school senior project, titled sling ball. http://vgchartz.com/forum/thread.php?id=76669&page=1

you can view a few screenshots from the game in my photo album here; http://www.vgchartz.com/photos/album.php?album=2312

yes, this is vonboy's alt account. i can't log into my original account, and i'm not sure if i will ever be able to.

Proud Member of the Official Yoshi Fan Club!.

Ghutto on 25 December 2009

Will sell more than 15 million.