No offence but it's kind of stupid to even compare NSMBWii with SMG. Everyone knew that that was going to be the next big Mario 3D platformer and when reviews came out and the game ended up winning many awards no one was surprised that the game did so well (HD or no HD, it's a 3D Mario platformer). No one is expecting NSMBWii to be an extremely good game in terms of quality. It's multiplayer mode and appeal towards the more casual crowd will assure that it will sell 10-20 million, but in terms of quality it's really not expected to be in the same league as SMG and SMG2.
It will no doubt be Wii GOTY, but there's no way it will be overall GOTY over Uncharted 2 or MW2. If it gets better reviews than those 2 than it will probably be one of the most surprisingly good games ever.
The game might do well at peer=based awards shows like IAA, GDC or BAFTA (they all nominated and gave lots of awards to Wii Sports), but while quality isn't the main aspect that those awards shows take into consideration, NSMBWii would have to have a huge impact on the industry, and honestly I don't think it will (I can definately see it getting a BAFTA nod for GOTY though, but not a win).
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