Predict which announced exclusives will pass 1M WW first week

RPG

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RPG on 01 October 2009

1M WW first week is no mean feat and very few games so such a larger number. That said predict which announced titles will do 1 million first week.

Wii:

SMG 2

NSMB Wii

Wii Fit+

PS3:

GT5

GOW III (Yes I do think this will do very well)

FFXIII Versus

Outside chance Uncharted 2

360:

Halo Reach

Splinter Cell Conviction

Mass Effect II

Fable III

Outside chance Forza 3

Probably missing some some huge titles but my mind is a blank at 4am.

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Seece on 01 October 2009

No multiplatforms allowed? On one console I mean? I think FF13 on PS3 and MW2 on 360 will blow past a million

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--OkeyDokey-- on 01 October 2009

Mass Effect, God of War and Splinter Cell won't. They're not popular enough outside America.

Forza 3 has zero chance if preorders are any indication. Other than that, seems about right.

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snyperdud on 01 October 2009

MW2 on 360
MW2 on PS3
Halo Reach
GT5
God of War III
ACII on 360
NSMB:Wii

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themanwithnoname on 02 October 2009

Super Mario Galaxy 2
New Super Mario Brothers Wii
Wii Fit Plus
Gran Turismo 5
Final Fantasy Versus XIII
Halo: Reach
Fable III

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ShadowSoldier on 02 October 2009

themanwithnoname said:
Super Mario Galaxy 2
New Super Mario Brothers Wii
Wii Fit Plus
Gran Turismo 5
Final Fantasy Versus XIII
Halo: Reach
Fable III

This plus God of War III and Uncharted 2

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Zucas on 02 October 2009

themanwithnoname said:
Super Mario Galaxy 2
New Super Mario Brothers Wii
Wii Fit Plus
Gran Turismo 5
Final Fantasy Versus XIII
Halo: Reach
Fable III

Yea I'd say this about sums it up. Although I'm not as certain for Wii Fit Plus. Although budget price will help it so still probably a good pick. I'd also throw up the Zelda Wii game (yes been announced), Dragon Quest X, God of War 3, and Mass Effect 2. Last 2 might be kinda the same with Wii Fit Plus, but they are going to be pretty large titles for their respective userbases and should sell like them.

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makingmusic476 on 02 October 2009

The 360 version of Mass Effect is only sitting at 2.08 million. It's highly unlikely half of those people will buy the sequel the very first week.

It probably has less of a chance at breaking a million week 1 than Uncharted 2.

Edit: Same goes for Splinter Cell. Double Agent only managed 1.14 million on 360. The only Splinter Cell that managed substantial sales was the first, totalling 2.91 million, but even for a game that managed those figures a million first week is highly unlikely. Just look at God of War. God of War sold 3.21 million, but the sequel only managed a ~600k opening week.

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Zlejedi on 02 October 2009

NSMB, FF XIII PS3, Versus, Halo reach

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dravenmanson on 02 October 2009

Wii:
SMG 2
NSMB Wii
Wii Fit+

PS3:
GT5
GOW III
FFXIII
FFXIII Versus
Uncharted 2
PES 2010

360:
MW2
Halo Reach
Splinter Cell Conviction
Fable III
Bioshock 2

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