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Forums - Sales Discussion - Wii 10 mln. or PS3 5 mln. in Japan. Who first?

jarrod on 02 November 2009

Announced console software lineups through the holidays for the curious, new releases only...

 

Wii

11.05.09 Mario & Sonic at Vancouver Olympics (Nintendo)

11.12.09 Final Fantasy Crystal Chronicles: The Crystal Bearers (Square Enix)

11.19.09 Calling: Kuroki Chakusen (Hudson)

11.19.09 Family Challenge Wii (Konami)

11.19.09 Metal Fight Beyblade: Gachinko Stadium (Hudson)

11.19.09 Taiko no Tatsujin Wii Dodon to 2-dai-me! (Namco)

11.26.09 Karaoke Joysound Wii DX (Hudson)

11.26.09 Monotaru Dentetsu 2010: Sengoku Ishin no Hero Daishougou! no Maki (Hudson)

11.26.09 Puyo Puyo 7 (SEGA)

11.26.09 Rabbids Go Home (Ubisoft)

11.26.09 SimAnimals Africa (EA)

12.03.09 Carl Jii-San no Soratobu Le (E-Frontier)

12.03.09 Isometric & Karate Exercise: Wii de Kotsuban Fitness (IE Institute)

12.03.09 Kamen Rider: Climax Heroes W (Bandai)

12.03.09 New Super Mario Bros. Wii (Nintendo)

12.03.09 Sengoku Musou 3 (KOEI)

12.03.09 Takumi Restaurant wa Daihanjou (Dorart)

12.03.09 Tokyo Freind Pack II Ketteiban: Minna de Chousen! Taiken Attraction (Spike)

12.05.09 PokéPark Wii: Pikachu no Daibouken (Pokémon Company)

12.10.09 Family Trainer 2 (Bandai)

12.10.09 FullMetal Alchemist: Tasogare no Shoujou (Square Enix)

12.10.09 Tales of Graces (Namco)

12.10.09 Tohshinden (TOMY Takara)

12.10.09 Winning Eleven Playmaker 2010 (Konami)

12.17.09 F1 2010 (Codemasters)

12.17.09 Minna ga Shuyaku no NHK Kouhaku Quiz Kassen (Nintendo)

12.17.09 Need for Speed NITRO (EA)

 

PlayStation 3

11.05.09 3D Dot Game Heroes (FROM Software)

11.05.09 Colin McRae DiRT 2 (Codemasters)

11.05.09 inFAMOUS Akumei Takaki Otoko (SCEI)

11.05.09 NBA Live 10 (EA)

11.05.09 World Soccer Winning Eleven 2010 (Konami)

11.11.09 Dragon Ball: Raging Blast (Bandai)

11.11.09 Need for Speed SHIFT (EA)

11.19.09 Rachet & Clank Future 2 (SCEI)

12.03.09 Assassin's Creed II (Ubisoft)

12.10.09 Call of Duty: Modern Warfare 2 (Square Enix)

12.17.09 Final Fantasy XIII (Square Enix)

 

Xbox 360

11.05.09 Colin McRae DiRT 2 (Codemasters)

11.05.09 Namco Museum: Virtual Arcade (Namco)

11.05.09 NBA Live 10 (EA)

11.05.09 Tayutama: Kiss on my Deity (5pb.games)

11.05.09 World Soccer Winning Eleven 2010 (Konami)

11.11.09 Dragon Ball: Raging Blast (Bandai)

11.11.09 Need for Speed SHIFT (EA)

11.26.09 Mushihimesama Futari Ver 1.5 (Cave)

11.29.09 Left 4 Dead 2 (EA)

12.03.09 Assassin's Creed II (Ubisoft)

12.10.09 Call of Duty: Modern Warfare 2 (Square Enix)

12.10.09 Samurai Spirits Sen (SNK Playmore)

12.24.09 Infernal Hell's Vengeance (Russell)

12.24.09 Tomoyo After: It's a Wonderful Life: CS Edition (Prototype)




Around the Network
jarrod on 02 November 2009

Edouble24 said:

And Jarrod, do you really think Yakuza will outsell GT5? GT5 is bound to sell more than prolouge. I'd say it hits the 1 million mark or very close to it. It will outsell any current PS3 game in Japan, so it will top MGS4's sales.

I think it'll be a push between them, but I expect in the neighborhood of 500k each for the original runs.  GT5 definitely won't pass MGS4 though, and it's not breaking a million.  At least not without inventive bundling and a quick budget reprint.  

GT5P sales were massively inflated thanks to hardware bundles also btw.  I think Mingol 5 makes a good test case for GT5 going forward.



saicho on 02 November 2009
BHR-3 said:
ps3 1st

i also see ps3 taking over the wii all together in Japan in the future

if gt5 had been released this dec in Jp the ps3 would of hit 6mill b4 the wii hits 10

when do you see this happening?



MikeB predicts that the PS3 will sell about 140 million units by the end of 2016 and triple the amount of 360s in the long run.

koffieboon on 02 November 2009
Edouble24 said:
koffieboon said:
Edouble24 said:
Do you guys have Wii rising so high in mid November because of Final Fantasy? Seriously...140k? It's not even going to sell half of that.

When they made their predictions they expected NSMB to be released in November.

Didn't they revise their predictions? They also have the Wii shooting up the week of the NSMB Wii release, which I do agree with.

And Jarrod, do you really think Yakuza will outsell GT5? GT5 is bound to sell more than prolouge. I'd say it hits the 1 million mark or very close to it. It will outsell any current PS3 game in Japan, so it will top MGS4's sales.

If they still have Wii selling over 100k halfway through November then its still the old predictions. Ioi made an adjusted prediction somewhere in this thread http://www.vgchartz.com/forum/post.php?id=2735349 , I don't think ZorroX made one as well.



Edouble24 on 02 November 2009

ah OK, I was looking at the ioi vs Zorro thread that the guy was updating. That seems a lot more reasonable.



Around the Network
Jansky8 on 02 November 2009

I think PS3 will reach 5 millions before Wii reaches 10. We'll see.



theprof00 on 02 November 2009

just commenting on the fact that on the front page this thread said (-302 new posts) with a minus, indicating there were 302 fewer posts than before.



Ail on 02 November 2009

One small change ( which shoudn't change the outcome but will make the race a lot closer).
ioi had the Wii slightly outselling the PS3 starting last week and it doesn't look like it is shaping to be this way.
It looks like the PS3 will outsell the Wii until NSMBWii releases.

The PS3 should have a 140k lead or so at that time...



PS3-Xbox360 gap : 1.5 millions and going up in PS3 favor !

PS3-Wii gap : 20 millions and going down !

jarrod on 02 November 2009
Ail said:
One small change ( which shoudn't change the outcome but will make the race a lot closer).
ioi had the Wii slightly outselling the PS3 starting last week and it doesn't look like it is shaping to be this way.
It looks like the PS3 will outsell the Wii until NSMBWii releases.

The PS3 should have a 140k lead or so at that time...

I dunno, they're basically selling at parity now.  I think we'll generally see that continue, with continual back and forth until December's Wii assault hits on the 3rd.  After that it's going to be all an Wii lead for 2009, bar FFXIII week.

PS3 should get  a nice spike next week from WE2010 though, and Wii might the week after from FFCC.  Wii has a much better November overall, but most of it's bigger games aren't frontloaded sellers (Taiko 2, Mario & Sonic 2, Joysound DX) and probably won't cause any hardware spikes.



saicho on 02 November 2009
Ail said:
One small change ( which shoudn't change the outcome but will make the race a lot closer).
ioi had the Wii slightly outselling the PS3 starting last week and it doesn't look like it is shaping to be this way.
It looks like the PS3 will outsell the Wii until NSMBWii releases.

The PS3 should have a 140k lead or so at that time...

From the other thread, PS3 is leading by about 6K YTD. Are you saying PS3 will outsell Wii in November by 134K?



MikeB predicts that the PS3 will sell about 140 million units by the end of 2016 and triple the amount of 360s in the long run.