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Forums - Sales - Predict Wii sales for price cut week for the 3 regions

Avinash_Tyagi said:
Ail said:
Avinash_Tyagi said:
trestres said:
Less than what it did the same week last year.

So the price cut week will do less than 330K?  Even with Wii Fit plus coming out?  Let me put it in perspective, when WSR launched in the US a few weeks back Wii did 337K WW, and you're saying that the Price cut won't do that?  Seriously?

I think he's actually on the money.

One of the reason price cuts give big boost the first week is that all the customers planning to buy a console and that become aware of the cut delay their purchase until the week the cut takes place. From all account that has not been the case for the Wii.

Long term it does encourage customers that though the old price was too high to purchase it but those won't necessary rush to make their purchase the first week...

The Wii is hovering around 17k in Japan right now and I doubt it will go above 30k the week of the cut ( still would be a nice 80% boost).

US and Others will probably go back to 110k levels so add those 3 and you get 250k...

 

 

You may be right that people aren't putting off their Wii purchases, however that doesn't address the fact that Japan is getting Wii Fit plus, UK is getting a new Bundle, and that WSR was able to life Wii's sales over 300K

 

True but.

- WSR lifted Wii sales by 4k when it released in Japan. is Wii Fit+ going to do better ?

- the week before WSR released outside of Japan Wii sales were at 230k , they are at 175k right now. And like Trestres pointed out, the 100k boost the Wii got when WSR was released outside of Japan was 80% due to MH3 releasing in Japan that same week..



PS3-Xbox360 gap : 1.5 millions and going up in PS3 favor !

PS3-Wii gap : 20 millions and going down !

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trestres said:
Avinash_Tyagi said:
Ail said:
Avinash_Tyagi said:
trestres said:
Less than what it did the same week last year.

So the price cut week will do less than 330K?  Even with Wii Fit plus coming out?  Let me put it in perspective, when WSR launched in the US a few weeks back Wii did 337K WW, and you're saying that the Price cut won't do that?  Seriously?

I think he's actually on the money.

One of the reason price cuts give big boost the first week is that all the customers planning to buy a console and that become aware of the cut delay their purchase until the week the cut takes place. From all account that has not been the case for the Wii.

Long term it does encourage customers that though the old price was too high to purchase it but those won't necessary rush to make their purchase the first week...

The Wii is hovering around 17k in Japan right now and I doubt it will go above 30k the week of the cut ( still would be a nice 80% boost).

US and Others will probably go back to 110k levels so add those 3 and you get 250k...

 

 

You may be right that people aren't putting off their Wii purchases, however that doesn't address the fact that Japan is getting Wii Fit plus, UK is getting a new Bundle, and that WSR was able to life Wii's sales over 300K

It's funny how you like to twist facts. WSR wasn't the responsible for those sales on its own. You are purposedly forgetting that MH3 was launched in Japan that same week and it moved 95k Wii's there.

Now your comments are the ones not making any sense.

Ok, but even excluding Monster Hunter, Wii Sports Resort would have still put Wii sales around 260K



 

Predictions:Sales of Wii Fit will surpass the combined sales of the Grand Theft Auto franchiseLifetime sales of Wii will surpass the combined sales of the entire Playstation family of consoles by 12/31/2015 Wii hardware sales will surpass the total hardware sales of the PS2 by 12/31/2010 Wii will have 50% marketshare or more by the end of 2008 (I was wrong!!  It was a little over 48% only)Wii will surpass 45 Million in lifetime sales by the end of 2008 (I was wrong!!  Nintendo Financials showed it fell slightly short of 45 million shipped by end of 2008)Wii will surpass 80 Million in lifetime sales by the end of 2009 (I was wrong!! Wii didn't even get to 70 Million)

Still not enough to reach the same numbers it did last year.



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Pandora's Tower will have an opening week of less than 37k in Japan. (Won!)
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Ail said:
Avinash_Tyagi said:
Ail said:
Avinash_Tyagi said:
trestres said:
Less than what it did the same week last year.

So the price cut week will do less than 330K?  Even with Wii Fit plus coming out?  Let me put it in perspective, when WSR launched in the US a few weeks back Wii did 337K WW, and you're saying that the Price cut won't do that?  Seriously?

I think he's actually on the money.

One of the reason price cuts give big boost the first week is that all the customers planning to buy a console and that become aware of the cut delay their purchase until the week the cut takes place. From all account that has not been the case for the Wii.

Long term it does encourage customers that though the old price was too high to purchase it but those won't necessary rush to make their purchase the first week...

The Wii is hovering around 17k in Japan right now and I doubt it will go above 30k the week of the cut ( still would be a nice 80% boost).

US and Others will probably go back to 110k levels so add those 3 and you get 250k...

 

 

You may be right that people aren't putting off their Wii purchases, however that doesn't address the fact that Japan is getting Wii Fit plus, UK is getting a new Bundle, and that WSR was able to life Wii's sales over 300K

 

True but.

- WSR lifted Wii sales by 4k when it released in Japan. is Wii Fit+ going to do better ?

- the week before WSR released outside of Japan Wii sales were at 230k , they are at 175k right now. And like Trestres pointed out, the 100k boost the Wii got when WSR was released outside of Japan was 80% due to MH3 releasing in Japan that same week..

It might not, but its also being coupled with a price cut, unlike WSR which was just tossed out on its own.

True Monster Hunter did push the Wii up in Japan, however even without Monster hunter, Wii was about 70-80K higher in sales than it was in the last sales charts, it was still in the mid 200's rather than the high 100's



 

Predictions:Sales of Wii Fit will surpass the combined sales of the Grand Theft Auto franchiseLifetime sales of Wii will surpass the combined sales of the entire Playstation family of consoles by 12/31/2015 Wii hardware sales will surpass the total hardware sales of the PS2 by 12/31/2010 Wii will have 50% marketshare or more by the end of 2008 (I was wrong!!  It was a little over 48% only)Wii will surpass 45 Million in lifetime sales by the end of 2008 (I was wrong!!  Nintendo Financials showed it fell slightly short of 45 million shipped by end of 2008)Wii will surpass 80 Million in lifetime sales by the end of 2009 (I was wrong!! Wii didn't even get to 70 Million)

trestres said:
Still not enough to reach the same numbers it did last year.

Agreed, but that was WSR by itself, what I'm asking is, you don't think Wii fit plus and a price cut and a new bundle will be able to do more than just WSR was able to do?



 

Predictions:Sales of Wii Fit will surpass the combined sales of the Grand Theft Auto franchiseLifetime sales of Wii will surpass the combined sales of the entire Playstation family of consoles by 12/31/2015 Wii hardware sales will surpass the total hardware sales of the PS2 by 12/31/2010 Wii will have 50% marketshare or more by the end of 2008 (I was wrong!!  It was a little over 48% only)Wii will surpass 45 Million in lifetime sales by the end of 2008 (I was wrong!!  Nintendo Financials showed it fell slightly short of 45 million shipped by end of 2008)Wii will surpass 80 Million in lifetime sales by the end of 2009 (I was wrong!! Wii didn't even get to 70 Million)

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im thinking it will have slightly better numbers the ps3 had last week.



At the very least, it seems as though everyone responding to this post is in agreement more or less that a $199 price is forthcoming, most likely on the 27th, whereas not less than three weeks ago, many Nintendo diehards seemed to be in complete denial of even the possibility of a Wii price drop because of "The Blue Ocean Strategy" "It doesn't need one" "it still sells more than half of all consoles every week" and so on.

Others were only willing to concede that a price cut, if one were to happen, would not happen before the end of the fiscal year 2009 because Nintendo wouldn't "give away" all the potential profits of a 4th holiday season sell out of hardware at the original price of $249 because Nintendo doesn't need to drop price. Or we'd see new colors first, or new bundles, or new colored bundles at $249.

While it's not confirmed (we'll find out in less than a week), it's amusing that popular opinion has completely 180'ed on the topic.

Sales for the next two weeks (including the first full week at the new price) should the price drop become reality, will largely depend upon current inventory within supply channels.

While it's no secret that Nintendo has been building up a huge surplus of consoles, assuming they haven't drastically lowered production rates from peak capacity (likely), I can potentially see the Wii selling out over the next few weeks at the new price, if channels aren't appropriately stuffed in anticipation.

So, once again, if the $199 price point supports the notion that there is a broader market for a $199 Wii, weekly console sales may once again be supply constrained, distorting sales rate figures.



Price drop has already been confirmed, so its not a 180, a lot of people still don't think its necessary, but it is a fact



 

Predictions:Sales of Wii Fit will surpass the combined sales of the Grand Theft Auto franchiseLifetime sales of Wii will surpass the combined sales of the entire Playstation family of consoles by 12/31/2015 Wii hardware sales will surpass the total hardware sales of the PS2 by 12/31/2010 Wii will have 50% marketshare or more by the end of 2008 (I was wrong!!  It was a little over 48% only)Wii will surpass 45 Million in lifetime sales by the end of 2008 (I was wrong!!  Nintendo Financials showed it fell slightly short of 45 million shipped by end of 2008)Wii will surpass 80 Million in lifetime sales by the end of 2009 (I was wrong!! Wii didn't even get to 70 Million)

Since Nintendo is generally not in the habit of handing out $50 coupons (that would be MS) on their consoles, it's not a reach to say that more than one corporate head at Nintendo thought it was necessary.



Sure, but corporate heads can make mistakes, as the recent economic downturn can attest, I think they should have just gone the bundle and new colors route



 

Predictions:Sales of Wii Fit will surpass the combined sales of the Grand Theft Auto franchiseLifetime sales of Wii will surpass the combined sales of the entire Playstation family of consoles by 12/31/2015 Wii hardware sales will surpass the total hardware sales of the PS2 by 12/31/2010 Wii will have 50% marketshare or more by the end of 2008 (I was wrong!!  It was a little over 48% only)Wii will surpass 45 Million in lifetime sales by the end of 2008 (I was wrong!!  Nintendo Financials showed it fell slightly short of 45 million shipped by end of 2008)Wii will surpass 80 Million in lifetime sales by the end of 2009 (I was wrong!! Wii didn't even get to 70 Million)