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Forums - General Discussion - Mafia Round 6A - Game Thread

Vetteman94 said:
dsister44 said:

DGC has been on almost all day, and hasn't posted in this thread at all really.

 

Vote: DGC

same as outlawauron

I haven't seen him on at all.

Though i don't want it to seem like I am protecting him either so

Unvote:DGC

Vote: Outlawauron



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Agh, y'all voted too fast, it doesn't help me to see who's jumping on the bandwagon.




Is it me or has Outlaw never been past the first 2 days?

Oh well, the ball has started rolling.

Might as well hop in.

Vote- Outlawauron



 Tag (Courtesy of Fkusumot) "If I'm posting in this thread then it's probally a spam thread."                               

well, looks like the dsister vote fell apart.

@final-fan

you haven't given a reason for invisible not being mafia except for some "reason" that you haven't explained. The best I've gathered is that she isn't mafia because the odds of her being mafia twice are low. However, if that is your reasoning, the real probability of her being mafia are n/m where n = num mafia, and m = 14 since the games are independent events.

unvote dsister
vote outlawauron




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Nordlead Jr. Photo/Video Gallery!!! (Video Added 4/19/10)

Nordlead; she wasn't mafia last game, and Outlaw was. I'm gonna feel bad if we lynch him and he's a townie (since we've done that before in previous rounds), so I'd rather that we wait so he can at least defend himself before we lynch him.



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insomniac17 said:
Nordlead; she wasn't mafia last game, and Outlaw was. I'm gonna feel bad if we lynch him and he's a townie (since we've done that before in previous rounds), so I'd rather that we wait so he can at least defend himself before we lynch him.


Yet you were perfectly fine with lynching me?

FoS: insomniaac



dsister44 said:
insomniac17 said:
Nordlead; she wasn't mafia last game, and Outlaw was. I'm gonna feel bad if we lynch him and he's a townie (since we've done that before in previous rounds), so I'd rather that we wait so he can at least defend himself before we lynch him.


Yet you were perfectly fine with lynching me?

FoS: insomniaac

I wanted to hear your defense as well.

http://www.vgchartz.com/forum/post.php?id=2635779

I say that about everyone since I don't want to lynch townies if I can help it.



One of the first thing they taught me in probability class is the "lack of memory principle". Assuming WoW's method is completely random, the likeness of someone getting X role is totally independant of what he's been before. Therefore, we have to avoid looking at past games to infer alignments here, as it leads to nothing




Person Voting To Lynch ( Lynched | Murdered ) Identity

Day 1
Day 2 Day 3 Day 4 Day 5  
outlawauron
RCTjunkie dsister44



dsister44
RCTjunkie outlawauron



SciFiBoy
RCTjunkie outlawauron



Gnizmo
zexen_lowe
SciFiBoy


 
c03n3nj0 No Lynch
outlawauron



insomniac17
RCTjunkie dsister44



invisible29
No Lynch
dsister44


 
Final-fan
nordlead
outlawauron



zexen_lowe
RCTjunkie outlawauron



axumblade
RCTjunkie


 
Dgc1808 RCTjunkie dsister44        
nordlead RCTjunkie outlawauron        
Vetteman94 RCTjunkie
outlawauron        
RCTjunkie (no vote) --- --- --- --- Townsfolk
dsister44


nordlead said:
well, looks like the dsister vote fell apart.

@final-fan

you haven't given a reason for invisible not being mafia except for some "reason" that you haven't explained. The best I've gathered is that she isn't mafia because the odds of her being mafia twice are low. However, if that is your reasoning, the real probability of her being mafia are n/m where n = num mafia, and m = 14 since the games are independent events.

unvote dsister
vote outlawauron

She wasn't mafia last game; I was and I framed her.  I've stated my reason which is basically that I think it would not be a choice a mod would make to have her one.  If it's totally random, then I guess she could be.  I'll have to review her posts to see if her reaction to being "incorrectly" targeted meshes with her reaction last game.  



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