Zuhyc said:
FinalEvangelion said: Personally, I think the 4.5 million by the end of the CY is possible if both GT5 and FF13 are out by the end of the year. Personally, I can see 100k hw selling on GT5 week (December 4th?) and 300k hw selling FF13 week (Dec. 17th). It would have to do 1 million from this week to the end of the year.
My original prediction was 180k hw on FF13 launch, but have recently upgraded that to 300k. |
Any reason why you are adjusting your prediction? 300k is really, really high.
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Maybe I'm being a little optimistic, but over 200k is definitely possible.
Since sales have been generally slow for the console in the past, one game that tons of people will be wating will give a very big spike in the sales. I estimated the Slim launch to be 80-120k, and that was quite a bit lower than what happened.
If you ever go to Japan, I'm not exaggerating here. Everyone will know that FF13 is coming out on December 17th. It is or will shortly be listed at every single convenience store (7-11, Lawson, FamilyMart, AM/PM) and every Electronics store (Yamada, Yodobashi, Softmap, etc.)
For comparison to America...
Pokemon = Grand Theft Auto
Dragon Quest = Halo
Final Fantasy = Gears of War
"Naturally the common people don't want war: Neither in Russia, nor in England, nor for that matter in Germany. That is understood. But, after all, IT IS THE LEADERS of the country who determine the policy and it is always a simple matter to drag the people along, whether it is a democracy, or a fascist dictatorship, or a parliament, or a communist dictatorship. Voice or no voice, the people can always be brought to the bidding of the leaders. That is easy. All you have to do is TELL THEM THEY ARE BEING ATTACKED, and denounce the peacemakers for lack of patriotism and exposing the country to danger. IT WORKS THE SAME IN ANY COUNTRY." --Hermann Goering, leading Nazi party member, at the Nuremberg War Crime Trials
Conservatives: Pushing for a small enough government to be a guest in your living room, or even better - your uterus.