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Forums - General Discussion - VGChartz Mafia Game - Round 4

Words Of Wisdom said:
Khuutra said:
Day 2

The delightful thing here is that the Mafia won't try to kill either WoW or insomniac tonight: since the doctor will be choosing between them, the Mafia has to risk the 50% chance of absolutely whiffing the kill if they choose to go after one of those two.

Day 2.

Why won't the mafia try to kill me? 

Because you specifically requested protection from the doctor yesterday, and I'm willing to bet that you got it, and you stand a 50% chance of getting it tonight.

Now, lemme ask you: you're Mafia. You are pretty sure you want to kill either insomniac or WoW, but one of them is being protected by the doctor. Who do you kill?



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Khuutra said:
Day 2

The delightful thing here is that the Mafia won't try to kill either WoW or insomniac tonight: since the doctor will be choosing between them, the Mafia has to risk the 50% chance of absolutely whiffing the kill if they choose to go after one of those two.

So the Mafia won't - they'll choose someone else altogether, probably someone who's a confirmed town.

The doctor should continue to protect our two investigators, of course. Keep your head low, though.

@Gnizmo: If another cop pops up, they are very possibly insane instead of one of them being Mafia. If that's the case, we can just have one of the cops investigate me tonight - my lack of action last night very nearly confirms that I'm a townie, so we can take that as an indicator of whether or not a cop is insane. That way, we can still use them as we would be otherwise, and we'd have two effective cops and a Reporter on our side. Assuming, of course, another cop pops up.

This will not help, of course, if they are Naive or Paranoid, but that's a whole other bag of worms.

Day 2

Err, I haven't been doing the whole "Day 2" thing... Oops.

The way I see it is that they could kill me off, thus confirming me to be a cop, they could let me live, thus making myself seem suspicious because I could be mafia who claims to be a cop, or they could have one of them claim to be a cop and contest me, hoping that the town will get rid of me and believe their "cop." I think that letting me live seems to be the most likely course, but ya never know.

hatmoza said:

I may be new but I see righe through you, plus there's no way in hell you're the cop....

Okay, so you see right through me because there's no way I'm the cop? I'm not entirely sure how that works? How is there no way that I'm the cop?



Khuutra said:

Because you specifically requested protection from the doctor yesterday, and I'm willing to bet that you got it, and you stand a 50% chance of getting it tonight.

Now, lemme ask you: you're Mafia. You are pretty sure you want to kill either insomniac or WoW, but one of them is being protected by the doctor. Who do you kill?

Day 2.

If I was mafia and not a simple townie, I would kill... Gnizmo.  I don't know why, but Gnizmo just seems like the deserving type. 



Words Of Wisdom said:
Khuutra said:

Because you specifically requested protection from the doctor yesterday, and I'm willing to bet that you got it, and you stand a 50% chance of getting it tonight.

Now, lemme ask you: you're Mafia. You are pretty sure you want to kill either insomniac or WoW, but one of them is being protected by the doctor. Who do you kill?

Day 2.

If I was mafia and not a simple townie, I would kill... Gnizmo.  I don't know why, but Gnizmo just seems like the deserving type. 

Day 2

Precisely. You go for someone else altogether, avoiding the chance of missing your kill. Right now the Mafia won't be gunning for people who get the doctor's priority protections: they'll be gunning for the doctor.



Day 2
Vote change: insomniac17

@Khutra
for the two reasons above and because I see through his reverse reverse phychology I hope. I do have another reason but cannot share.



I am the black sheep     "of course I'm crazy, but that doesn't mean I'm wrong."-Robert Anton Wilson

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Day 2.

But if they get the doctor then we're kind of screwed because my brilliant mind and insomniac's powers of investigation won't catch them.



hatmoza said:
Day 2
Vote change: insomniac17

@Khutra
for the two reasons above and because I see through his reverse reverse phychology I hope. I do have another reason but cannot share.

Okay, what two reasons now? And there is no reverse psychology, I assure you.

Your other reason would be... If you're not mafia then you could be... Well, if you are, then I don't want to say it either. I'm still pretty suspicious of you though. You don't seem to have any good reason for accusing me.



Words Of Wisdom said:
Day 2.

But if they get the doctor then we're kind of screwed because my brilliant mind and insomniac's powers of investigation won't catch them.

Day 2

Even if they get the doctor tonight, we still have two days before they kill both your big brain and insomniac's magnifying glass: that is three potential eliminations, either of members who are Mafia or members who are not.

We can win this if we play it cool.

@hatmoza: No, I think you better lay your cards on the table.



Day 2

(I am only just keeping this up for a few more posts to cement what day we are in by the by)

Why would the mafia target you right now. So far you have pointed out nothing conclusively suspicious. The net results of our actions were somewhere close to neutral for yesterday. Unless I missed a role claim somewhere in this thread I would say it is safe to assume you are off the hit list for any special reason.

Thinking about the potential situations for dtewi is giving me a head ache though. We should definitely set a rule for banned people next game. That way at least its not trying to guess at a thousand possible scenarios.



Starcraft 2 ID: Gnizmo 229

Khuutra said:

@hatmoza: No, I think you better lay your cards on the table.

Day 2.

I think so as well.