By using this site, you agree to our Privacy Policy and our Terms of Use. Close

Forums - Sony - Why Were Initial Hardware Projections So Far Off?

I want to know why initial hardware predictions were so far off?! When I mean far off, I dont mean by a few %, I mean:

 

http://news.vgchartz.com/news.php?id=4917

 

“We project that September sales worldwide will be around double that of August - around 600,000 units.”

 

- Week 1 will nearly outdo the ENTIRE PROJECTED MONTH

 

http://www.vgchartz.com/forum/post.php?id=2551780

 

"PS3 is up about 85% this week (~70k) - slims available but limited to only some retailers and in limited quantities - next week should be 90-100k in the Americas with the slim being fully available everywhere"

 

- Taking the high end of this estimate, still 25% off!

 

http://www.vgchartz.com/forum/post.php?id=2557196

 

“I'd say 50k [week 1 in Japan] is a reasonable estimate, 100k seems a little high to me but who knows?”

 

-50k week 1 in Japan is INCREDIBLY far off from 150k. Hell, even 100k is!

 

 

Actual Week 1 Sales (Still an estimate, but now with evidence to back it up):

Others: +200k
Americas: +125k
Japan: +150k

Total: +500k

 

 

So what gives? Why were all of these predictions so bad?



Around the Network

You put it in the wrong forum again xD

I think sales were higher than anyone expected... even Crazzyman.



tombi123 said:
You put it in the wrong forum again xD

I think sales were higher than anyone expected... even Crazzyman.

>.< This is what happens when you get too excited and both forums start with "S."

 

*facepalm*



lulz!!!



Edit: Other one was locked, okies.



Around the Network

I think it would be combination of the pent up demand was higher than expected and I blame Sony for making this the worlds worst kept secret and the better than expected price cut.

Both were unknow quantities on effect and I think combined they have produced some good first week sales.

Now we have the first week out of the way we need to wait and see what ratio was pent up demand versus demand at this price. I would suggest signs are good that Sony should see a sustained bump, now it is over to Microsoft to do something.



W.L.B.B. Member, Portsmouth Branch.

(Welsh(Folk) Living Beyond Borders)

Winner of the 2010 VGC Holiday sales prediction thread with an Average 1.6% accuracy rating. I am indeed awesome.

Kinect as seen by PS3 owners ...if you can pick at it   ...post it ... Did I mention the 360 was black and Shinny? Keeping Sigs obscure since 2007, Passed by the Sig police 5July10.

If you ask your self what a projection or prediction is (an educated guess) then you will have your answer



 

 assumption is the mother of all f**k ups 

I'm going to be honest with you, I nailed this prediction.



ioi said:
Because they exceeded all expectations, simple as that.

Except Sony's :P



Because no one truly knows the power of TEH C3LL.