I want to know why initial hardware predictions were so far off?! When I mean far off, I dont mean by a few %, I mean:

http://news.vgchartz.com/news.php?id=4917

“We project that September sales worldwide will be around double that of August - around 600,000 units.”

- Week 1 will nearly outdo the ENTIRE PROJECTED MONTH

http://www.vgchartz.com/forum/post.php?id=2551780

"PS3 is up about 85% this week (~70k) - slims available but limited to only some retailers and in limited quantities - next week should be 90-100k in the Americas with the slim being fully available everywhere"

- Taking the high end of this estimate, still 25% off!

http://www.vgchartz.com/forum/post.php?id=2557196

“I'd say 50k [week 1 in Japan] is a reasonable estimate, 100k seems a little high to me but who knows?”

-50k week 1 in Japan is INCREDIBLY far off from 150k. Hell, even 100k is!

Actual Week 1 Sales (Still an estimate, but now with evidence to back it up):

Others: +200k
Americas: +125k
Japan: +150k

Total: +500k

So what gives? Why were all of these predictions so bad?

edit...

No one actually B_E_L_I_E_V_E_D.
Even hardcore Sony fans were afraid of making big predictions, afraid to sound like hardcore Sony fans.

Edit - do not start a new thread, ask a mod to move it =/

Who knows. But given that this was so unexpected I wouldn't be surprised if that 500k turns out to be more than 600k as more data comes in.

^Don't get ahead of yourself.

Yeah please don't make any predictions and let the final numbers do the talking

Hardware predictions were off because everyone assumed that sales would be mostly price drop driven.

Selling 500k units in one week crazy, i just wonder what the next few weeks will be like, I mean if the PS3 sell another 500k to hit 1 million for the month of September, and stays flat (maybe a little down) for October, then it will have a crazy Christmas (hell it might even allow SONY to reach its 13 million PS3's shipped/sold this fiscal year)