but seriously the numbers presentred in this thread make sense, rrod has being droping  the early ps3 model are now starting to break and the wii well is doing good

Wii's capabilities are primitive?

It has the latest tech of any of the 3 consoles.

360/PS3 have GPUs based on 5-6 year old tech. Wii-mote and M+ are far less primitive than the twins with their 25yr old controllers.

My, how unscientific. 

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Convenience_sample

If you prefer, an inside source:

"Q: So what do you think the real failure rate of the Xbox 360 is? Some have estimated it as high as 30%. I got my Xbox in early 2007 and so far so good but what do you think the chance is that it's going to die on me one day.

It's around 30%, and all will probably fail early. This quarter they are expecting 1 M failures, most of those Xenons. Some of those are repeat failures. Life expectancy is all over the map because the design has very little margin for most of the important parameters. That means it's not a fault tolerant design. So a good unit may last a couple of years, while a bad unit can fail in hours."

An unnamed and uncomfirmed source (outside a claim by the article writer) whose true motivations and position on the Xbox team are entirely unknown.  Its anecdotal evidence, just like your "I believe nearly all lauch units are dead" because of "people" you "know personally" and "talked to".

You leap pretty far in your statements based on the nature of what you have provided.