If 360's savior Halo couldn't get the lead from Nintendo, what makes anyone think all these other games (some of which are on other systems) will make in #1? Wii will stay ontop this Christmas.

A lack of imagination can be a dangerous thing. Unless you can conceive of how something can go wrong you can hardly anticipate it. The worst thing you can do is use words like never, always, or forever. For instance I ask the question if Halo 3 moved so many consoles. Then what of all the other highly anticipated 360 games.

Past success is never a guarantee of continued success. The software lineup for the Wii this holiday season is somewhat underwhelming. To me the question is this does software matter. Now if software does matter to those buying consoles. Then Microsoft should have a stellar season. However if hardware is what matters then the Wii will dominate.

So I suppose the question is this do you believe software actually matters when it comes to a consoles success. We often talk about the affects of software, and we have seen it spike sales. However to say the Wii will dominate utterly would indicate that software does not matter at all.

QFT.

 I'm not saying that the 360 is going to pull ahead, but please don't underestimate the power of Halo. Galaxy will be huge, we all know that. But how much of an impact will it have during Christmas?

 Nintendo had a chance to KO the competition and they let it get away. A Brawl + Galaxy release.. it could've been the best Christmas for Nintendo in history. Easily 5+ million during the holiday sales. But now we'll never know.

having two heavy hitters come out at the same time has it negatives. spreading out their releases (SMG and SSBB) would keep the constant flow of hardware sale pwnage....
-and i don't think 360 will past. All systems will have a good holiday but the big N will still be ahead when the new year rolls in

Halo 3 has done very well and if they can keep up the hardware sales they are really cementing their position. But their position is 2nd and the 360 wont be able to retake the Wii no way, but its looking like it will keep in its sights ww.

It might pass it if the Wii has supply constraints similar to last holiday. Mind you this year will be alot tougher with the PS3 being in the mix with alot more games and more available not to mention the price drop. Should be interesting though the 360 getting games like assasins creed, cod4 and rock band unlike the Wii should help quite a bit. Though they are not exclusive per say they aren't available on the Wii and are being considered to be AAA titles.

Halo has been released and the 360 isn't on top. 360 simply isn't going to take the lead.

Also, Nintendo intends to have sold 22 mil by March 08. That means a hell of a lot are going to sell this XMAS.

Yes they will catch up because of no Brawl and a shortage of Wii's this holiday. But it shouldnt be by much I don't think.

If Japan's sales are any indication, the Wii's novelty is starting to wane. People are coming home with their new Wiis, sitting through a few rounds of Sports, and then thinking: "Now what?" If Mario Galaxy isn't stellar (pun, hehe) then Wii sales are going to start slipping, no doubt. They've had the low price and overly simplified controls on their side through the launch, but gamers know that they need to go elsewhere for a substantial gaming experience.

That's only in terms of hardware. When you talk about "retaking the lead", you're referring to console numbers. However, it's been pretty obvious for a while that the 360 has been on top in terms of console software sold, by far. They've been leading the pack consistently over the other two consoles, even with Wii Sports and Wii Play sneaking into Nintendo's numbers through hardware bundle sales. The fact of the matter is: the 360s are in the hands of people who like playing games, and who buy software consistently. The Wiis are in your moms' and girlfriends' bedrooms, and they're just not looking for the next AAA title. They couldn't care less. Halo's effect has just begun. I'm sure not even half of the people who want Halo/360 this year have it yet, the console and software numbers will stay high through Q1 2008. As for the PS3, I'm genuinely hoping that his price drop helps them out a bit, but I'm not holding my breath. We'll start to see the PS3 numbers surge next year when the 360's DVD capacity problem becomes more evident and some truly amazing titles start coming out on the PS3.

That's my opinion, the numbers will speak for themselves.

Yeah, last week the wii only had a little over 4 times the hardware sales of the 360 in Japan, it is such a novelty item, and didn't even manage double the software sales.  (Although it would be 37 times the software sales if you take out Halo....)

The novelty may be wearing off, but that just means it's falling to sustained reasonable numbers, which are still higher than both the 360 and PS3, giving the 360 and PS3 their occational weeks as number one, but overall it's still the wii with the most sales.