Wii Sports Resort is a much bigger release than Wii Fit +

I'm willing to bet that it will go down as the top seller for the Wii for 2009 when the year totals are tallied up.

As for the no price drop; I'll be pretty surprised if we don't see a $199 Wii announced in time for the holiday season.

Ignore all company claims of "no immediate price drop" as saying otherwise would be totally irresponsible for the company. It would be the same as saying "We would like you to pay more today, but if you wait until X specific date in X months, you will be paying less instead." Or, "Don't buy our console today because the price will be less at X in X months. We don't want to sell any more consoles at the current price until the price drop is in effect."

Someone feel free to show me the logic in making an official statement like that because I'm just not capable of seeing it.

The question (for what sounds like a half-joke half wild prediction thread), is whether a $50 price drop makes that much of a difference for the Wii to counter a $299 PS3 slim and a $299 360 Elite (Elite=black case/120GB HDD) with the possibility of the Arcade dropping below the $199 price point.

The other question is whether claiming that two separate platforms combined outselling another platform equates to any sort of victory. If they hit their annual projections, all three companies can claim victory. As the score stands, Nintendo has been lowering projections, SCE has a LOT of work cut out for them if they want to hit anywhere near their projection, and MS will likely hit their target.

I see Wii Fit Plus as being bigger than Wii Sports Resort, and I see Wii Fit being more popular than Wii Sports. The fitness genre is probably the biggest thing to happen to gaming, ever. Largely because the fitness industry is bigger than the games industry ($14 billion in the US compared to $10 billion in the US*) and Wii Fit is disrupting it (by making it more fun and simpler).

Take a look at this chart:

http://vgchartz.com/swlaunch.php?reg1=All&game1=Wii+Sports+-+Wii&reg2=All&game2=Wii+Fit+-+Wii&reg3=All&game3=&weeks=156

Wii Fit has tracked fairly well compared to the best selling game of all time, and it didn't come bundled with a console. Now, how many people who bought Wii Sports did so for that game? I'm sure most did (especially the ones in Japan...), but I think it's reasonably likely that a fair proportion did not buy it for that game. It's less likely that a fair proportion bought Wii Fit so they would have a Balance Board for Shaun White Snowboarding (and not be interested in Wii Fit).

I don't know which will be more front loaded, but I think Wii Fit plus is a bigger deal overall, even if part of that is partially just to motivate more people to buy the original Wii Fit together with the expansion.

*Sources:

http://east.ballyfitness.com/franchising/whyFitness.asp
ESA annual report 2007

must be >_<

wii like all nintendo products shine in the holiday season.

The huricain hasn't started yet.

Agreed. Something deserves to beat it this year.

Price cut is a permanent solution for a temporary problem. 

In the past weeks, MH3 and WSR had such a big boost on hardware sales, probably even better than an $50 price cut, becaus that would have a shorter effect, for those who had only one barrier, the price. They would buy it on the month of the price cut, and Nintendo would be stuck with a console with decreased profits.  On the other hand, a good library increases the value forever. 

A price cut is like admitting that the product's value decreased. While it actually a natural part of a high-end technology product's life cycle, the Wii wasn't ever that. It sold well in 2008, because it had many good system-sellers. Now it didn't have system-sellers for a year, and it started to decrease. 

Adding software is better, because it increases the value instead of admitting that it doesn't worth that much

(Assuming not a joke thread)

Did the holiday's vanish? 12-14m only for Wii? lol. WSR, Wii's biggest game lol.

The combination of WSR, WF+, NSMBWii (which is definitely not being delayed), and overall WM+ on solid 3rd party efforts plus EA's fitness game means Wii will have a huge holiday even better than last year. Expect Wii to easily sell 25m+ for 2009. Japan is reborn thanks to MH3.

360's upcoming games won't cause any type of boost, they will maintain current sales levels. Natal will not release in 2009, earliest will be holiday 2010. MS probably won't price cut, simply cut out pro and lower Elite to $300, so I guess its a pricecut, but not really...

PS3 slim and pricecut is coming. That will allow it to return to last year's level of sales and be ahead of 360 by a marginal figure. Also, doubtful you'll see FF13 or GT5 this year.

So, with PS360 selling similarly to last year over holidays and Wii tracking well above last year, your entire OP is rooted in fail.

Plus, its funny your arguing the point that 2 consoles combined can beat Wii. lol.

Nintendo still has to adapt to changing conditions in the market. Many of those conditions are price sensitive. There is no such thing as a magical product that retains its full value from the beginning of full production to the end when mass produced and readily available.

While I personally don't see a $50 price drop resulting in an instant evaporation of the stock piles of consoles Nintendo has been building up this year (assuming they have not been cutting production), you're implying that the Wii will what, remain at $249 until it goes out of production in another ten years?

History shows that hit software causes temporary spikes in sales that diminish at a steady rate. They are not permanent by any means, regardless of "legs."

Hardware price drops by contrast, result in a plateau stepping effect as the lower price opens up newer price sensitive markets. There are simply larger markets for lower priced consoles. The raised plateau remains fairly consistent as demand at new prices continues to be met.

You are correct in the respect that price drops do need to be accompanied by solid new titles or run the risk of being perceived as a platform on the decline.

xbox and ps3 just can't make it that great

is this a joke?