iSuppli suggested in late December 2008, that the production costs of the PS3 were reduced by 35% to around $440 per unit selling at $399, this was based on the 65nm chipset compared to the initial 90nm chipset.
We have known for a while that the 45nm chipset is on the horizon as well as dropping costs for other components and more importantly the 50% drop of the bluray player costs later this year compared to at the start, which would see players costing $50 instead of $100
I wonder if a further 30% price reduction will apply to the chipsets seeing as according to iSuppli seeing as they cost approx $150 together in the 90nm chipset and were reduced to $105 when the 65nm which could mean that the combined chip costs could fall to around $80 or even less if production ramps up.
It also seems that the actual individual parts that make up a PS3 were nearly halved from the original 90nm PS3 to the latest 65nm version. So again this could have with the Slim model and could effectively reduce the costs as well.
I don't see why a PSPSlim revision with new smaller chipsets, smaller power units as well as cheaper components and Bluray drive can't drastically reduce the cost of the unit.
Although I will stand by my initial statement weeks ago and state that I reckon the existing PS3 model will reduce in price by $100 and the new PS3Slim will enter the market at the higher current $399 pricepoint and will reduce at some stage next year once the current models are away. This will allow Sony to make a healthy profit for the next 6 months and then by the time the current models are cleared away, they reduce the PS3Slim to the $299 pricepoint next year and it will still be making a profit.
In short, I can see the $100 reduction this year, but then nothing for at least another 12-18 months.
Prediction (June 12th 2017)
Permanent pricedrop for both PS4 Slim and PS4 Pro in October.
PS4 Slim $249 (October 2017)
PS4 Pro $349 (October 2017)