M$ reports earning on 23 July, and it’s going to be interesting to see what kind of numbers are reported. They have slashed 5000 jobs, and taken other cost cutting measures, so given the solid numbers posted by Intel, you’d think M$ would be bound to report solid numbers as well, unless the Wintel machines are fracturing more than we know. Google and IMB also posted very solid numbers today, so it would seem that bell weather tech stocks are delivering the goods. Of course, the key numbers that most on the site will be looking at, wrt to M$ will be the EDD numbers for 2008:
Revenue - $8.14 Bln
Profit - $426 Mln
8.7 million Xbox 360s Shipped
It’s going to be interesting to see how much the 360 price cut “cost” the revenue bottom-line, but it’s also important to keep in mind that Halo 3 was launched in that fiscal year, and it’s going to have an impact as well…just as Halo ODST will likely have on FY2010.
Of course, we have the 9-month data from the last 10-Q in which m$ reported:
Entertainment and Devices Division
|
|
|
Three Months Ended |
|
Percentage |
|
Nine Months Ended |
|
Percentage |
|||||||||
|
(In millions, except percentages) |
|
2009 |
|
|
2008 |
|
|
2009 |
|
2008 |
|
||||||
|
Revenue |
|
$ |
1,567 |
|
|
$ |
1,592 |
|
(2)% |
|
$ |
6,564 |
|
$ |
6,616 |
|
(1)% |
|
Operating income (loss) |
|
$ |
(31 |
) |
|
$ |
106 |
|
* |
|
$ |
299 |
|
$ |
668 |
|
(55)% |
So, with nearly another 1.7 million consoles sold during this final quarter, M$ will have nearly 12 million consoles shipped for FY 2009, as compared to that 8.7 number for 2008, but at a reduced price to possibly counter the increased sales. So far, EDD has spent $317 million on R&D, and that represents one of the most expensive cost increases, so depending on whether or not they dumped more increases like that into R&D, we will see if they return a stronger profit line. As of the past 9-month period, they had only saved $60 on 360 platform cost, so it will be interesting to see the final reductions for the FY, since this will impact how much and the likelihood of another price cut sometime soon.
The Outlook for 2009 was expected to be flat or slightly decreased, so they look to be ontrack to deliver at least that expectation, but could it perhaps be a bit more? Looking at this current quarter, were their any upside surprises in games and etc?
I know DLC has probably been an upside with the launch of GTA and others for Fallout 3, not the mention weekly DLC like LIPs and GH DLs. You’ve also got XBLA weekly numbers which have been increasing regularly, and finally, you’ve got increase subs for annual membership. The question is whether or not that will deliver an additional $127 million in profits for the quarter?










