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Forums - Gaming - Will PSP pass 100 million before it's discountinued?

PSP will end up anywhere between 70-85 Million consoles sold. PSp2 (if engineered, and sold correctly) could beet the original PSP as long as the whole games getting pirated thing doesnt work.



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Around 90 million, hopefully. Won't beat the DS obviously but for a first try it's quite amazing.



FilaBrasileiro said:
superchunk said:
It won't pass 60 million.


Is this a joke? It's already well over 50 million (was 50 million as of January 31st and Sony expects to sell another 15 million this year.

I'm guessing it'll pass the GBA (81.47 million).

BTW, thesimexchange expects the psp to sell 87.38 million.

 

I'm using VGC numbers. I'm not sure where the 50m at the end of Jan comes from.

Currently it is 48.5m. Then you look at recent history.


all 2008 Jan-Jun2008 jan-jun2009 % est 2009
psp (millions) 13.3 5.7 3.7 64.9% 8.6

So, if I estimate another 8.6m sold this year (keep in mind this is 1/2 of what Sony projected in their last fiscal report) then it will total ~57.1m.

ok, my 60m is probably off. But, definitely not 80m given that:

1. Its sales are obviously slowing big time.

2. I don't think PSPGo will be successful.

3. PSP2 will launch by late 2010 as 1 and 2 come true.

 



I certainly hope it does, if not it would be the first playstation platform not to hit 100 million, not saying its not success if it stops right now, but still



 

mM
superchunk said:
FilaBrasileiro said:
superchunk said:
It won't pass 60 million.


Is this a joke? It's already well over 50 million (was 50 million as of January 31st and Sony expects to sell another 15 million this year.

I'm guessing it'll pass the GBA (81.47 million).

BTW, thesimexchange expects the psp to sell 87.38 million.

 

I'm using VGC numbers. I'm not sure where the 50m at the end of Jan comes from.

Currently it is 48.5m. Then you look at recent history.


all 2008 Jan-Jun2008 jan-jun2009 % est 2009
psp (millions) 13.3 5.7 3.7 64.9% 8.6

So, if I estimate another 8.6m sold this year (keep in mind this is 1/2 of what Sony projected in their last fiscal report) then it will total ~57.1m.

ok, my 60m is probably off. But, definitely not 80m given that:

1. Its sales are obviously slowing big time.

2. I don't think PSPGo will be successful.

3. PSP2 will launch by late 2010 as 1 and 2 come true.

 

According to sony, the PSP "sold" just over 50 million at the end of December 2008. Thats were he is getting his 50 million sales figure from.



 

mM
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No 80 million. Hope the psp go is a success.



 

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leo-j said:

According to sony, the PSP "sold" just over 50 million at the end of December 2008. Thats were he is getting his 50 million sales figure from.

well, I think I'll stick with VGC as Sony's fiscal reports have contradictions. Plus sold to consumers is what is important, not retail.

Examples below.

FY06 Q4 shows

FY04 = 2.97, FY05 = 14.06, FY06 = 8.36

FY07 Q4 shows

FY06 = 9.53, FY07 = 13.89

FY08 Q4 shows

FY07 = 13.81, FY08 = 14.11

So with that I have different totals

anywhere from 53.89 to 54.58 shipped through Q4 2008. :/

I think the problem is when the changed their accounting practices and that actually increased their 'shipped/sold' figures. Now Sony forecasted 15m for FY09 and based on above I'm betting 10m tops. So, even if I use shipped figures that's 65m at best for April 1 2010. I still think, 80m tops lifetime.

Sources:
http://www.sony.net/SonyInfo/IR/financial/fr/08q4_sonypre.pdf
http://www.sony.net/SonyInfo/IR/financial/fr/07q4_sonypre.pdf
http://www.sony.net/SonyInfo/IR/financial/fr/06q4_sonypre.pdf



I am not defending the price of the go price, but i believe is going to give a surprise to everyone.
anyway I suspect more than 80 million.



superchunk said:
leo-j said:
 

According to sony, the PSP "sold" just over 50 million at the end of December 2008. Thats were he is getting his 50 million sales figure from.

well, I think I'll stick with VGC as Sony's fiscal reports have contradictions. Plus sold to consumers is what is important, not retail.

Examples below.

FY06 Q4 shows

FY04 = 2.97, FY05 = 14.06, FY06 = 8.36

FY07 Q4 shows

FY06 = 9.53, FY07 = 13.89

FY08 Q4 shows

FY07 = 13.81, FY08 = 14.11

So with that I have different totals

anywhere from 53.89 to 54.58 shipped through Q4 2008. :/

I think the problem is when the changed their accounting practices and that actually increased their 'shipped/sold' figures. Now Sony forecasted 15m for FY09 and based on above I'm betting 10m tops. So, even if I use shipped figures that's 65m at best for April 1 2010. I still think, 80m tops lifetime.

Sources:
http://www.sony.net/SonyInfo/IR/financial/fr/08q4_sonypre.pdf
http://www.sony.net/SonyInfo/IR/financial/fr/07q4_sonypre.pdf
http://www.sony.net/SonyInfo/IR/financial/fr/06q4_sonypre.pdf

 

So let me get this straight, you believe ioi's numbers over a manufacturer's official numbers, I'm sorry but LMFAO.

 

Here's the official documentation I'm talking about:

 

http://www.scei.co.jp/corporate/release/090213e.html

 

You can believe whatever you want, but now I know I've seen it all, before it was vgchartz is right NPD, Gfk, Enterbrain is wrong, but now is vgchartz is right and the MANUFACTURER is wrong. LMFAO.



@FilaBrasileiro

1. Do you not see the 1m difference in their numbers?
2. I'm following sold not shipped anyways. That's what my prediction is based on.