No. It will be lucky to sell more than Haze.

If the Conduit breaks 700,000 units it could be more profitable than KZ2, thats what matters at the end of the day. KZ2 had a budget of over $21M, Conduit could be between 7 to 9 mill, With 700k HVS could have a greater profit per unit of the Conduit than the guys who did KZ2 did.

@Subiya

I disagree the DLC for killzone 2 has sold very well.. and its pure profit

Killzone 2 has received additional sales via bundling (Number omitted in case the bundle numbers police catch me) which has helped its LTD and will continue to help it. Also the PS3 has more hard core fans.

The conduit although it will no doubt do well for this type of game cannot be considered casual and so for that reason because it is on the Wii even with a large install base will do relatively badly when compared to KZ2.

That said The Conduit will make a sizeable return on its money as I expect it to sell short of a Million more than recouping the development cost.

I'd say there is a .0001% chance of this happening. The early sales numbers don't look too promising, the other region sales will probably be even weaker, and most importantly, Killzone is a much, much, much, much, much better game.

Wii games usually aren't very front loaded on their first week sales like HD games. I can give you an example of EVERY GENRE on the wii that sold worse then the conduit in its first week and still managed to sell 1 million.

KZ2s development  budget was 40mln$ in 2007 but they exceeded it as they said it in one of the interviews so i wouldn't be suprised if the whole development budget was about 50mln$ and then there's advertisment so i think whole budget for this project was bout 65-70mln$ considering that sony is getting probably 30-32$ out of every copy sold it will take a while before KZ2 will start making any profit.

I've started similar thread before around Killzone 2 release time, i dont think it have a chance now. It will sell a milionn without a doubt and it will be a success for both SEGA and HVS but it wont come near killone.

If the game got good reviews all around (around 80) then i could see it happen, because many "hardcore" gamers blindly look towards reviews. The Conduit is good but its still far from what i thought it could be.

The Conduit will not outsell CoD: WaW (Wii version) let alone KZ2.



Think about it.

I scoff at you.