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Forums - Gaming - Analysis: X360 underachieving and why it won't get a price-cut in 2009

You're losing yourself in your own words squilliam, knowing nothing in economics.

As your own post clearly states, Entertainment and Devices division from MS LOST 31 million $ in three months ended March 31,2009.

Try to fanboy-spin that (or make another reverse post / thread, or a joke post, I don't know).



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Squilliam said:
aderoche said:

Reposting from the MS can either make $$$ or outsell PS3, NOT BOTH. thread.

It seems that alot of people are prepared to use the EDD profit/loss figures as a surrogate for actual XBOX profitability. Doing so is increadibly missleading. If you look at the latest 10Q filing from Microsoft you can actually get somer sense of the actual XBOX business, this is because they give you deltas as both dollar value and percentage offset.

 

 

Nine months ended March 31, 2009 compared with nine months ended March 31, 2008

EDD revenue decreased primarily due to decreased Xbox 360 platform and PC game revenue and included an unfavorable impact from foreign currency exchange rates of $47 million or one percentage point. Xbox 360 platform and PC game revenue decreased $51 million or 1%, primarily as a result of decreased revenue per Xbox 360 console as a result of price reductions during the past 12 months. We shipped 10 million Xbox 360 consoles during the first nine months of fiscal year 2009 compared with 7.5 million Xbox 360 consoles during the first nine months of fiscal year 2008.

EDD operating income decreased primarily due to increased research and development expenses, partially offset by decreased cost of revenue. Research and development expenses increased $317 million or 30%, primarily reflecting increased headcount-related expenses associated with the Windows Mobile device platform, driven by recent acquisitions. Cost of revenue decreased $60 million or 2%, primarily driven by decreased Xbox 360 platform costs.

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

The bolded sections are the important ones. Gaming related revenue decreased $51 Million, or 1%. If $50million is one percent then 100 percent is 5Billion. This gives us gaming revenue. Cost of revenue decreased 2% or $60million which gives ua a total cost of revenue for the EDD of $3 billion. A 30% increase in R&D at 317million gives you about $1 Billion before, $1.3Billion after.

So, we have $5 Billion in revenue (gaming alone) with a cost of revenue of $3 Billion and R&D exenses of $1.3 Billion (both for the entire devision) it is very hard to come to the conclusion that the XBOX is losing money.

There is obviosly $2 Billion in expenses missing, $6.5 Billion in revenue, minus $300 Million in profit, minus $4.3 Billion combined cost of revenue plus R&D leaves $2 Billion. There is obviously Administrative costs as well as cost associated with the recent aquisitions that drove up Windows Mobile R&D expeses. Truth be told we can't tell from this report. Perhaps it's $2 Billion dollars worth of money hatting.

To reiterate my point, there is $2 Billion more revenue from gaming then there is cost of revenue for the entire EDD.

Entertainment and Devices Division

 

 

Three Months Ended
March 31,

 

 

Percentage
Change

 

 

 

Nine Months Ended
March 31,

 

 

Percentage
Change

 

 

(In millions, except percentages)

 

 

2009

 

 

2008

 

 

 

2009

 

 

2008

 

 

Revenue

 

$

1,567

 

$

1,592

 

 

(2)%

 

$

6,564

 

$

6,616

 

 

(1)%

Operating income (loss)

 

$

(31

)

$

106

 

 

*

 

$

299

 

$

668

 

 

the xbox is 6 billion in the hole.

even with ps3 loosing money it will have hard time to top xbox losses,

well loosing it relative. as well winning.



There are still people that don't know that the Entertainment and Devices division covers more than just the Xbox 360?



@Legend : yeah, tell that to Squilliam, he posted those numbers like they meant something. I guess in depth analysis is in his next post.



My point was that theres more to the equation than X Billion in losses = Xbox 360 lost it all.



Tease.

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There are alot of assumptions.
But like you said.. you don't know the revenue, therefore we don't know the real story. MS could sell 4,000,000,000 consoles and make -100000000 dollars. But they could also sell 10,000 consoles and make 50,000 dollars. We just don't know. And since they are on track to beat this last years total, this is the only thing that really matters here.
With heavy hitters and the ps3's price sending shoppers to the xbox this christmas (if they don't cut it!) I think there could be a massive gap this holiday. But if they do cut it the situation could be different.



And that's the only thing I need is *this*. I don't need this or this. Just this PS4... And this gaming PC. - The PS4 and the Gaming PC and that's all I need... And this Xbox 360. - The PS4, the Gaming PC, and the Xbox 360, and that's all I need... And these PS3's. - The PS4, and these PS3's, and the Gaming PC, and the Xbox 360... And this Nintendo DS. - The PS4, this Xbox 360, and the Gaming PC, and the PS3's, and that's all *I* need. And that's *all* I need too. I don't need one other thing, not one... I need this. - The Gaming PC and PS4, and Xbox 360, and thePS3's . Well what are you looking at? What do you think I'm some kind of a jerk or something! - And this. That's all I need.

Obligatory dick measuring Gaming Laptop Specs: Sager NP8270-GTX: 17.3" FULL HD (1920X1080) LED Matte LC, nVIDIA GeForce GTX 780M, Intel Core i7-4700MQ, 16GB (2x8GB) DDR3, 750GB SATA II 3GB/s 7,200 RPM Hard Drive

Tony_Parker said:
So what graham ? If anybody who wants a 360 already has it, what exactly will cutting the Elite model price achieve ? Not so much...

You fanboys tried this shtick after Halo 3 came out and said the 360 would stop selling.  It didn't so you tried it again around the release of Gears 2, but it still didn't stop selling.  Nearly 120,000 people worldwide bought one last week, so clearly there are people who want one but still don't have one, unless those were the last 120,000 people on earth to ever buy an xbox.  Do you think its weekly sales will be 0 this week?  If not then go spread your fanboy FUD somewhere else.



Lostplanet22 said:
The Xbox 360 sold more than the original Xbox for MS their is no underachievement possible anymore this gen.


If you consider the fact that the gaming industry gets bigger and bigger every generation, then not so much. The Wii has almost sold as much as the NES, but yet the NES had around 90%+ market share; the Wii has 50%. About 180 million consoles were sold last generation. This generation is likely to reach 240 million or possibly much more.

You must also consider that the original Xbox was only on store shelves for 4-5 years, while the 360 has already nearly matched that.

Oh, and Microsoft is in the red for their Xbox franchise, so they have a lot of ground to make up if they want to be profitable.

There are a lot of factors to take in when considering if the sequel to the Xbox was/is a success. The Dreamcast sold more than some previous Sega consoles, yet Sega still dropped out.

Personally, I would say that the 360 was/is a success in terms of grabbing some of Sony's market share. It has sold better than the original Xbox, and now Microsoft has established itself as a competitor.

 

@ Person who made this thread:


I think the 360 will come very close to the sales it had last year. And I disagree with you on the pricecut part of your discussion. The Gamecube started at $200, quickly went to $150, and even more quickly went to $100. I think Microsoft could handle another price drop, or maybe even two, as the price of hardware falls.

This also brings up an interesting point about Nintendo. The Wii is STILL $250, the longest running system without a pricecut in gaming history, and it just so happens that it is the cheapest of the three to manufacture. I am guessing that it costs Nintendo $100 to make a Wii, and they sell it to retailers for $200, which sell it to consumers for $250. That's $100 Nintendo makes with every Wii sold. Nintendo could legitimately afford to drop their price to $200, and then down to $150, and still break even, but by that time (let's say the timeframe is 6 months between pricecuts), the Wii will be even cheaper to manufacture, and they could once again drop the price to $100.

This puts Nintendo on the pedastal right now. They are owning this generation, selling the most units as we just sit and watch as the high-tech competitors start dropping their prices to those that are lower than the Wii's. If it were up to me, I would drop the Wii price to $200 for this holiday season, releasing Wii Fit Plus alongside. As long as they had an extra 8 - 10 million Wiis in stock from November to December, they'd dominate once again.



De85 said:
Tony_Parker said:
So what graham ? If anybody who wants a 360 already has it, what exactly will cutting the Elite model price achieve ? Not so much...

You fanboys tried this shtick after Halo 3 came out and said the 360 would stop selling.  It didn't so you tried it again around the release of Gears 2, but it still didn't stop selling.  Nearly 120,000 people worldwide bought one last week, so clearly there are people who want one but still don't have one, unless those were the last 120,000 people on earth to ever buy an xbox.  Do you think its weekly sales will be 0 this week?  If not then go spread your fanboy FUD somewhere else.


Of course not zero, you're offtopic there, nobody said sales would stop, my point was considering the price is already very low, cutting the price wouldn't change things for the 360 since everybody can already buy the 360 at that price.

So, the message is price cuts don't impact sales that much? If that is the case, I am curious if you can apply the same reasoning to a PS3 price cut. Why would a price cut suddenly be a difference maker for the PS3, if it hadn't been for the 360?

Also, $250 seems to be the new mass market price, considering the sales of the Wii.