I hope this game doesnt sell much to be honest FPS are getting so long in the tooth now it's quite boring

It will be miracle if it can sell that many lifetime.

Even assuming it was that popular, initial shipments won't be anywhere near high enough.

I think Conduit will be lucky to reach half of what Halo 3 managed in week one in it's Lifetime sales.

I didn't notice the great hype of Grand Theft Auto IV. In my opinion, it wasn't that hyped. I think most people purchased it just because it was critically acclaimed.

Opening week are largely determined by stock in stores (and demand). The amount of stock in stores, especially for a publisher like Sega (Microsoft can break the rules), is largely based on preorders. Preorders would have to be massive for them to produce enough copies in time that they could get in the hands of the consumer the first week.

It should open better than COD:WAW for the wii, and if the game is really good (agreed by both casual FPS and hardcore FPS fans, 90+ metacritic), then it might outsell Halo 3 lifetime just because there are more Wii systems than 360 and could potentially become a system seller. I can see that scenario happening, but only about 20% likely...

Unless we start hearing about midnight launch parties at stores all across the country/world, no way are preorders high enough for that massive of an opening week. If we do start hearing about launch parties, I will up it from 0% likely to 0.6% likely.

it won't
normally shooter or action games aren't succesfull on the wii. it's more a kids konsole.
sega can be proud if they sell 4 million lifetime of the conduit

No, Halo 3 is a known franchise, where the Conduit is a new IP with a significant amount of hype. It will likely sell similar to COD:WaW on Wii, around a 1.5 mil total.

2007 called, they want their post back.

COD:WaW, RE4 are just 2 examples of games that sold over a mil copies on the Wii.

That said, 4 mil lifetime would be very successful, I can't forsee over 2 mil, but that is still quite successful.

I hate who says Wii is for kids, not just because you dont'have an iperextramega graphic system it's not a console! There are many ames for teens and many others for all people, we cannot say that Wii is just for kids! On the other hand I hope Conduit will do well, but a new game from a new company and being a new try on Wii to put a good FPS i hope it will sell more than 100k first week, but I hoper it also have good legs and becomes a 2+ M seller; if it did (or also if it will overpasso 1 M) HVS and Nintendo have won.