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Forums - Sales - Why the PS3 will not last long, let alone 10 years.

Viper1 said:
MS says, "Me too!"

Claims 10 year life cycle.
http://www.gamesindustry.biz/articles/360-to-match-ps3s-10-year-lifecycle-says-kim


Old. Kim has said in the past that the 360 will have a lifetime at least 1 day more than the PS3.



Its libraries that sell systems not a single game.

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Squilliam said:
I understand average, but in this case the best indication would be an upperquartile bandwidth level. Blu Ray can only really sell to those who have an HDTV and streamed movies can only sell to those who have a fast internet connection. The reason why the upper quartile is the important statistic here is because it counts those people who likely have a strong interest in streaming media and are therefore likely to be early adopters of the technology.

I've read your posts about streaming media, but you also have to take into account that some people like to have a physical copy of their movies. Not just that, but most ISP's, at least in Canada, cap your monthly usage, so streaming will not be a viable alternative unless you have a limitless internet connection. And on top of this, many on demand movies sold through cable boxes like rogers are more expensive than going to a brick and mortar shop to rent it. In the future it may be possible, but I think it will be at least 5 years before we see viable HD streaming (1080p) here in Canada.

Just my 2 cents.



I was thinking about this today. How more people are moving towaqrds the wii. Look at all the 3rd party games for wii this year and compare the last couple of years. Improving see.



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What I really find hillarious about M$ always touting that DDL are the future is that they haven't even started doing it with the 360 yet, while the PS3 has had many full games digitaly downloaded which have been very successful, too. I don't see this ever taking completely over, tho. Maybe one day it will be 50/50 or there abouts.

Back to the OP's topic, this prediction is pure fail and quite silly.



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WereKitten said:
Smashchu2 said:

...

 

As for disruption, I know the concept, but you're applying it wrong because there's no such thing as a single market for videogames. Nintendo did not disrupt the core market at all, they did not bring any huge new added value to it with the Wii. Traditional gamers and developers did not flock abandoning the PS and Xbox machines. That's actually the whole point of the blue ocean strategy in this case: market segmentation.

They sold approximately the same quantity of Super Mario, Metroid and Zelda games as always to their core market and they made alot of money on a market on which they actually don't have competition from the other two consoles. Meanwhile the two HD consoles are happily selling on their core market with pretty similar results to the late PS2.

At Nintendo they actually don't have any interest into "going for the kill". Didn't you say yourself that it's about the profit? Why should they hope to turn the whole industry around? Are they zaelots that want to convert to a phylosophy all the developer and gamers? Or are they businessmen that are making money, and the later others enter their own space, the better.

One last misunderstanding on your part: I didn't say that your arguments were devoid of value. I said that this conversation was valueless as a debate. I stand by this.

I haven't replied to your post becuase I've either been gaming (going though both Golden Suns) or working. However, I will clear one thing up. Yes, Nintendo is disruptibng. Here is a video from the co-author of disruption (he's written more on it, I beleive). He mentions examples, including the Wii. Let's not forget that Reggie mentions disruption quite often and mentioned in at E3 06-08 (he talked a different, yet related, game at 09).

Video