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Forums - Sales Discussion - My deeply divisive prediction #1: 360>PS3 10 weeks holidays, with $299 PS3

BMaker11 said:
Zizzla_Rachet said:
BMaker11 said:
$400 PS3 significantly outsold a $350 360. A $300 PS3 would destroy a $300 360. My two cents

 

When MGS4 came out?.....Nice....and LOL

Uhhh...no. Try the end of 2007 all the way up to either August or September of 2008 when the 360 price cut to $300 kicked in

Edit: http://vgchartz.com/hwcomps.php?cons1=&reg1=------&cons2=PS3&reg2=All&cons3=X360&reg3=All&start=39411&end=39719

This is totally unrelated...But check this out.....

 

Metal Gear Solid 4: Guns of the Patriots (メタルギア・ソリッド4・ガンズ・オブ・ザ・パトリオット Metaru Gia Soriddo 4 Ganzu obu za Patoriotto?), commonly abbreviated to MGS4, is a stealth action video game developed by Kojima Productions for the PlayStation 3. Guns of the Patriots is the latest addition to the Metal Gear series and was directed by Hideo Kojima, Shuyo Murata and Yoji Shinkawa. Its worldwide release on June 12, 2008 came ten years after the release of Metal Gear Solid and twenty years after the US release of Metal Gear.[10][11] MGS4 has received wide-spread critical acclaim, garnering Game of the Year awards from several major gaming publications, including GameSpot, which hailed the game as technically flawless. The game has been a driving force behind sales of the Metal Gear franchise, which has sold more than 4.75 million units since April 2008.

I always thought April came before June......



 



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txrattlesnake said:
kowenicki said:
@rattlesnake

thats just ridiculous... to say that without Gears 2 it would have sold half the number of consoles.

I cant prove its wrong and you cant prove its right... but it seems like a ludicrous proposition to me.

 

      Of all the exclusive retail games on 360 last year the only that turned out to turn out the way it was supposed to with projected ideas about what its quality would be and actual quality of the game after it had gone gold and received reviews from all of the leading places was Gears 2.  It accounted for a large percentage of 360 sales last year and its word of mouth played a psychological part in the purchase of 360 even by those that didn't buy Gears 2.

 

This is the most flawed reasoning I've seen in this entire thread.  There's a reason those people didn't buy Gears 2, and it's because they simply don't care about it.  Also, you clearly haven't played Fable 2 or Left 4 Dead if you think Gears 2 was the only good game exclusive to the 460 last Christmas.



@Squilliam

What was the "massive" price cut the PS3 had again in 2007? $100 off from $600 and $500? which left the PS3 at its (still) current price, whereas the 360 got a recent price-cut which put it well under the mass-market price (even below Wii). I don't see any logic in your reasoning (or understanding of the market).

 

EDIT:  the 360 at its current lowest price of the console market has done nothing but UNDERACHIEVE in sales.



ha ha this thread reminds me of this one a little

http://www.vgchartz.com/forum/thread.php?id=66707

looks like me and u are going to go at it this holiday season with are predictions

all i can say is that if the ps3 goes to 300$ and the pro is 250$ and arcade is 150$ the ps3 should be able to outsell it cause the price diff went from 100$ and 200$ to 50$ and 150$ very similar to 2007 and thats wen the ps3 beat the 360 for the holidays

the only way ur prediction will work is if the ps3 drops to only 350$ the 360 would have to do nothing price cut wise for the ps3 to outsell it then

i wouldnt have all the stuff in my sig if i didnt believe they would happen their not there just for laughs



                                                             

                                                                      Play Me

BHR-3 said:
ha ha this thread reminds me of this one a little

http://www.vgchartz.com/forum/thread.php?id=66707

looks like me and u are going to go at it this holiday season with are predictions

all i can say is that if the ps3 goes to 300$ and the pro is 250$ and arcade is 150$ the ps3 should be able to outsell it cause the price diff went from 100$ and 200$ to 50$ and 150$ very similar to 2007 and thats wen the ps3 beat the 360 for the holidays

the only way ur prediction will work is if the ps3 drops to only 350$ the 360 would have to do nothing price cut wise for the ps3 to outsell it then

i wouldnt have all the stuff in my sig if i didnt believe they would happen their not there just for laughs

 

For us they are.



 

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txrattlesnake said:
Squilliam said:
txrattlesnake said:
Squilliam said:
^ They have the games, they just haven't talked about them yet.

 

     I think my first prediction in this thread is that no xbox holiday '09 game will result in the sale of as many 360s as  Gears of War 2 did during the holiday of '08 meanwhile games like Uncharted 2, GT5, and FFXIII in Japan will result in many more PS3 sales regardless of price cuts than LBP, Resistance 2, and Valkyrie Chronicles did the last holiday season.

How can you make a prediction like that when you have no idea how many Xbox 360s Gears 2 sold for Microsoft nor how many PS3sLBP, R2 and VC sold for Sony? Thats really no prediction at all.

 

Gears of War 2 sold 2.4 million copies in its first two weeks last year.  And, I would say other than the pricecuts even though its sales were frontloaded it was probably the only reason the 360 sold so well Holiday '08.  So, I think without Gears 2 last year, the 360 would have sold half the number of consoles it did during the holidays.

On the other hand, even at its current price, with FFXIII, GT5, and Uncharted 2, one can assume that the PS3 would have sold twice the amount of consoles it sold during holidays '08 with those games.

 

There is no way to prove if 360 will sell half the number of consoles it did during the holidays without Gears 2. However, there is a way to prove the part in blue.

If holiday this year PS3 does not sell twice the amount of consoles it sold during holiday 2008 with 1. price cut and 2. FFXIII, GT5, and Uncharted 2 released, your theory would be proved wrong unless you suggest PS3 sells better with a higher price.

@Squilliam

bold prediction but not as bold as the one made by PS3beats360

"PS3 will never be outsold by 360 ever again when PS3 reaches $299 price point."

He stole your thunder



MikeB predicts that the PS3 will sell about 140 million units by the end of 2016 and triple the amount of 360s in the long run.

seece said:
BHR-3 said:
ha ha this thread reminds me of this one a little

http://www.vgchartz.com/forum/thread.php?id=66707

looks like me and u are going to go at it this holiday season with are predictions

all i can say is that if the ps3 goes to 300$ and the pro is 250$ and arcade is 150$ the ps3 should be able to outsell it cause the price diff went from 100$ and 200$ to 50$ and 150$ very similar to 2007 and thats wen the ps3 beat the 360 for the holidays

the only way ur prediction will work is if the ps3 drops to only 350$ the 360 would have to do nothing price cut wise for the ps3 to outsell it then

i wouldnt have all the stuff in my sig if i didnt believe they would happen their not there just for laughs

 

For us they are.

thats wat all the 360 fans thought wen i told them re5 on the ps3 will outsell re5 on the 360 1st day and by the end of 09 and we see how thats going and wen i said the wii will sell less jan to jun 09 vs jan to june 08 and we see how thats going also

 



                                                             

                                                                      Play Me

kowenicki said:

@magnific0

Sigh.... and the PS3 has overachieved no doubt?

After all when the PS3 launched, even when you knew its price, you knew it would be last by 8 million after over 2 years on the shelves didnt you?

or

Did you think by now the 360 would be in last place.

I think if you are able to be honest you would say the latter.

THE underachiever this gen is PS3 - regardless of price. Price is an integral part of the product offering. Sony fucked up.

No, the PS3 has not overachieved. Geee, did I say that?  Look, I agree with your points, lol.

 

Now, your response doesn't deny my statement, so I take it you agree the 360 is indeed an underachiever at $200. That's all I said, so it's nice you think the same lol.

 



kowenicki said:
@bhr

so this year

You think the 360 will sell another 8.4m

And the PS3 will sell another 11.5m

11.5m??!!

In the last 12 months it has sold 11.9m and you expect it to sell that in the next 7 months.

In the same period last year 6.8m - thats a 75% YOY increase for the rest of the year starting now!

I'll take that bet.

 

u most be talking bout my end of year predictions well i made thoose in dec of 08 i think they will be close to wat i have and i dont change my predictions but i was really reffering to the stuff in my sig       

 

Wii Will Sell Less HW In 09 Than It Did In 08 & Won't Reach 50% In 09

PS3 Will Reach 50 mill B4 2010 Ends  PS3 Will Reach 53.98M B4 360 Does  Wii Wont Reach 100M In 2010
PS3's Gap To 360 Will Never Be Larger Than 9,238,829 In 09 The Next PS3 Price Cut Will Get 360 Fans Mad
PS3's Sales Will EXPLODE This Holiday Season To Outsell The 360 From November Onwards
PS3 will have a 299$ or less price tag B4 09 ends

if u read carefully i think that ps3 sales will explode i even have a link to show wat it will look like wen it does happen thats when the ps3 will make up that 11.5 millor around that #

me and the thread creater are disagreeing with the ps3 sales will explode this holiday season 2 outsell the 360 from nov onwards and i even made a prediction that the ps3 will outsell the 360 ww nov and dec 09



                                                             

                                                                      Play Me

BHR-3 said:
seece said:
BHR-3 said:
ha ha this thread reminds me of this one a little

http://www.vgchartz.com/forum/thread.php?id=66707

looks like me and u are going to go at it this holiday season with are predictions

all i can say is that if the ps3 goes to 300$ and the pro is 250$ and arcade is 150$ the ps3 should be able to outsell it cause the price diff went from 100$ and 200$ to 50$ and 150$ very similar to 2007 and thats wen the ps3 beat the 360 for the holidays

the only way ur prediction will work is if the ps3 drops to only 350$ the 360 would have to do nothing price cut wise for the ps3 to outsell it then

i wouldnt have all the stuff in my sig if i didnt believe they would happen their not there just for laughs

 

For us they are.

thats wat all the 360 fans thought wen i told them re5 on the ps3 will outsell re5 on the 360 1st day and by the end of 09 and we see how thats going and wen i said the wii will sell less jan to jun 09 vs jan to june 08 and we see how thats going also

 

Yup, just love the way you put us all in the same boat BHR.