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Forums - Sales - Is the Wii bubble About to Burst?

Can I just ask, how is Wii's bubble bursting when it's still out selling every home console? :/

I mean, if this is the end of the Wii's sales dominance and whatever, but it's still on top, what does it mean for the other consoles? 0_o.



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jimmay said:
fkusumot said:
jimmay said:
fkusumot said:
jimmay said:
dtewi said:
Well why don't we just take out most of PS3 games because they won't even come close to good selling games on the wii. SMG Sales > MGS4 Sales. And keep in mine I said high-scoring games. I meant games that will get a 75% average or above on gamerankings. Anyways it is a matter of opinion. If you think you'll have the most fun with 360 and PS3 good for you.

Im taking about sales, from september onwards both the 360 and the ps3 will have more games that sell over 500,000 than the wii will.


Really. Worldwide? You're making a prediction?


Games released between september and december 2007 that will go on to sell over 500,000 worldwide:

360:
Halo 3
Eternal Sonata
Skate
Project Gotham Racing 4
Lost Odyssey
Half-Life 2: The Orange Box
MotoGP 07
Ace Combat 6: Fires of Liberation
Virtua Fighter 5
Call of Duty 4: Modern Warfare
Assassin's Creed
Rock Band
Mass Effect
pro evolution soccer
Medal Of Honor Airborn
Guitar Hero 3
Fifa 2008
Stranglehold
Tony Hawk's Proving Ground
WWE: Smackdown VS Raw 2008
Need For Speed ProStreet

ps3:
Heavenly Sword
Ratchet & Clank Future: Tools of Destruction
SingStar
Unreal Tournament 3
Uncharted: Drake's Fortune
Time Crisis 4
SOCOM: Confrontation
Wipeout HD
Gran Turismo 5 Proluge
Medal Of Honor Airborn
pro evolution soccer
Call of Duty 4: Modern Warfare
Assassin's Creed
Rock Band
Half-Life 2: The Orange Box
Skate
Guitar Hero 3
Fifa 2008
Tony Hawk's Proving Ground
WWE: Smackdown VS Raw 2008
Need For Speed ProStreet

wii:
Mysims
Guitar Hero 3
Zack & Wiki
Super Mario Galaxy
Rayman: Raving Rabbids 2
Mario & Sonic At The Olympic Games
Resident Evil: Umbrella Chronicles
Super Smash Brothers: Brawl


I missed it. Did you make a prediction?

I predicted that chances are the games i listed above will be the only games released between september and decemeber to sell over 500,000 worldwide.


 Ah, so the first one wasn't a prediction. Weak.



We won't know until the holidays if there was a such thing as a Wii bubble, if the Wii sells out, or comes close to selling out, then we will know its not just a bubble, but I expect Wii sales to remain at about the current level until the end of october at least, however late october early november I expect them to pick up



 

Predictions:Sales of Wii Fit will surpass the combined sales of the Grand Theft Auto franchiseLifetime sales of Wii will surpass the combined sales of the entire Playstation family of consoles by 12/31/2015 Wii hardware sales will surpass the total hardware sales of the PS2 by 12/31/2010 Wii will have 50% marketshare or more by the end of 2008 (I was wrong!!  It was a little over 48% only)Wii will surpass 45 Million in lifetime sales by the end of 2008 (I was wrong!!  Nintendo Financials showed it fell slightly short of 45 million shipped by end of 2008)Wii will surpass 80 Million in lifetime sales by the end of 2009 (I was wrong!! Wii didn't even get to 70 Million)

Ishy changed avatar!
also good look with your prediction Jim, personally i would triple the Wii list and take about 5-10 off the ps3 [havent looked at 360 but with the strength of it's games in US i doubt i would need to take any away]



misterd said:
You're dreaming Jimmay. You have 21 games selling w/ a 10% attatch rate on a system no one is buying, and only 8 games with a 5% attatch rate on the hottest electronic device since the iPod. And many of those PS3 games you list will see their sales cannibalized because they're also on the 360. Heck, Trauma Center was basically a port of a DS game, and it sold 400K. And Ratchet & Clank? Those sold about 1million on a console w/ 20x the PS3 base.

No im showing reality, this forum is full of nintendo fanboys and they dont want to hear the truth, nobody has proved me wrong yet. The games ive listed are perfectly reasonable and nobody can argue a decent case for me being wrong. By the end of the year the ps3 will have sold over 8 million so selling over 500,000 pieces of software on it would only be a 6.25% attach ratio. Wii's non first party software has generally been poor compared to how well the hardware has been selling. 360 software has always sold great and that doesnt look like stopping anytime soon. I cant wait for people to eat crow round here whent he 360 and ps3 have more games rated over 80% from september to december as well has having more games selling over 500,000 than the wii.



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shams said:

Sales have dropped. No question of that.

But they have also dropped at the right time - Nintendo has planned & timed this out perfectly. The pre-Xmas rush starts around October, and by the time November hits - the sales of all games/consoles (this year in particular!) will go through the roof.

Nintendo will sell every available Wii this Xmas - worldwide. I don't think anyone has a doubt that there will be supply shortages - rather than demand shortages.


Nintendo planned to watch their Wii sales plummet?

You see, between now and November they only really have Mario Galaxy coming out, and even all the way until Christmas there really isn't much apart from Biohazard Umbrella Chronicles.  I suppose there is chance some of the other 3rd party stull will sell OK, but I don't see any runaway hits there.  After all, even Dragon Quest Swords has yet to sell more than 500,000 even though you yourself said it would do so after two weeks on release...

 

 

 

 



PSN - hanafuda

jimmay said:
misterd said:
You're dreaming Jimmay. You have 21 games selling w/ a 10% attatch rate on a system no one is buying, and only 8 games with a 5% attatch rate on the hottest electronic device since the iPod. And many of those PS3 games you list will see their sales cannibalized because they're also on the 360. Heck, Trauma Center was basically a port of a DS game, and it sold 400K. And Ratchet & Clank? Those sold about 1million on a console w/ 20x the PS3 base.

No im showing reality, this forum is full of nintendo fanboys and they dont want to hear the truth, nobody has proved me wrong yet. The games ive listed are perfectly reasonable and nobody can argue a decent case for me being wrong. By the end of the year the ps3 will have sold over 8 million so selling over 500,000 pieces of software on it would only be a 6.25% attach ratio. Wii's non first party software has generally been poor compared to how well the hardware has been selling. 360 software has always sold great and that doesnt look like stopping anytime soon. I cant wait for people to eat crow round here whent he 360 and ps3 have more games rated over 80% from september to december as well has having more games selling over 500,000 than the wii.


 Are you making a prediction?



hanafuda said:
shams said:

Sales have dropped. No question of that.

But they have also dropped at the right time - Nintendo has planned & timed this out perfectly. The pre-Xmas rush starts around October, and by the time November hits - the sales of all games/consoles (this year in particular!) will go through the roof.

Nintendo will sell every available Wii this Xmas - worldwide. I don't think anyone has a doubt that there will be supply shortages - rather than demand shortages.


Nintendo planned to watch their Wii sales plummet?

You see, between now and November they only really have Mario Galaxy coming out, and even all the way until Christmas there really isn't much apart from Biohazard Umbrella Chronicles.  I suppose there is chance some of the other 3rd party stull will sell OK, but I don't see any runaway hits there.  After all, even Dragon Quest Swords has yet to sell more than 500,000 even though you yourself said it would do so after two weeks on release...

 

 

 

 


http://www.gamefaqs.com/console/wii/releases.html

Come again?

http://www.gamefaqs.com/console/ps3/releases.html

A much smaller list.

You're forgetting 2 most anticipated 3rd party titles until november in the US, namely Zack & Wicky and Manhunt 2. And after that you're forgetting a Super Smash Bros Brawl, probably one of the most selling titles on the Nintendo consoles "ever".



PLAYSTATION®3 is the future.....NOW.......B_E_L_I_E_V_E

Supporter of PlayStation and Nintendo

Two things I think people are missing is:

  1.  that even thought Wii sales have declined there are no signs that the Wii has been dramatically easier to find.
  2. We're approaching the half year fiscal report for Nintendo and the Wii is creeping towards 12 Million units sold; at the same time Nintendo has announced unprecidented stock for the Wii over the holiday season which would imply either a dramatic increase in production or that they have stockpiled units. Personally, I expect that Nintendo will announce a dramatic increase in the production of Wii systems in their half year report and that these lower shipments were a result of lower manufacturing capacity while they upgraded facilities.


Here's your proof jimmay. 10% of wii owners are casual gamers. 10% of 10 million is 1 million. 1 million copies sold. Ta-dah! So at least 75% are core gamers so 7.5 million.



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Itsudatte itsudatte itsudatte

Sugu yoko de waratteita

Nakushitemo torimodosu kimi wo

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