Aren't you doing the same thing? LOL!

I don't think that MS can manufacture and ship the 60GB 360 at $199 at a profit. If they willing to go back to losing money with every box sold then there is hope it will  be able to track the PS3's sales.

I am pretty sure Sony will drop the price in time for the holiday season. They should be able to earn those losses back from the future sales and increase in the image of the console.

Microsoft stated that they wanted to secure their second place position. I have seen no such specific statements from Sony to contradict such a statement. Also when they are making money its easier to believe that they can afford a price cut, especially compared to a company which hasn't made any money so far this generation.

I think there will be a cut as well. But i doubt it will have the same impact as the last one.

I dunno where but they stated that the Xbox 360 Arcade SKU broke even with accessories. This was last year, so with a smaller process on the chips and some other refinements you're saying that they couldn't sell the Premium at the same price with just a HDD and cable being the only difference between SKUs?

They probably could, but don't forget that the HDD is a fixed cost that is out of their hands and they probably get it as cheaply as they can.

If they do that they would be cutting it pretty close with the Arcade and they wouldn't be able to cut it any further afterwards.

The cheapest HDD price on NewEgg is $35 for a 2.5" HDD or $45 for a HDD which isn't on a special price. Both are 80GB. As it costs no more than $50 to have a HDD, they could likely keep the price within $50 of the Arcade SKU if they so chose. Beyond that they could switch to flash based memory which would scale down in cost extremely well provided they do not increase the HDD space beyond 60GB.

But you still made an assumptions. We'll have to wait and see, right?

We never know maybe by that time, PS3 overtook 360 already and gain profit at the same time or the 360 increased the gap by 15-18 million.

EDIT: I am talking about the worlwide sales not American sales.

Are you effing insane? Because the sales numbers seem to disagree with you.

U are speculating, again. Lets look at 3 facts;

1. The PS3 when it had it's only price cut 1.5 years ago had good increases in HW and continually out sold the 360 till mid/late last year. Small price cut, too.

2. The 360 is a lot cheaper than the PS3 now, so it should be selling a lot more than the PS3, yes? Well it is not.

3. All SONY consoles have continued to sell, and well, well after the next gen platform is released. SONY also is very good at supporting and continuing SW well into later years, too. Now M$ has yet to relesae even one console that is supported with their next gen.

All these FACTS tell me that the PS3 will be pushed well into the PS4's life cycle weather the PS4 is released early or not. And that a $100 price cut will do wonders to HW sales when it comes.

Another fact; the SW line up is extreamly strong well into the future for the PS3 and it seems to be getting back to normal here in Japan, too with bigger support comming every day.