With 101.34mil home consoles so far and any where from 110mil to 210mil [ or even more if gen goes onlong enough] how many HD consoles will be sold?

how close will thier sale get?

how will a longer gen life effect thier install base?

currant sales atm

wii=49.31

360=30.06

PS3=21.87

above numbers vgchartz

approx 360 sales as of 11/11/2006 =5.26mil

sales since all three consoles on sale at the same time.=96.08

wii=49.31   /51.32%

360=24.90 /25.91%

PS3=21.87 /22.77%

with 110mil: I expect breack down as follows  wii=55%  360=21%  PS3=24%        wii=60.50    360=23.10  PS3=26.40

        140mil                                                       wii=57%  360=19.5%  PS3=23.5%  wii=79.80    360=27.30  PS3=32.90

        180mil                                                       Wii=58%  360=18%    PS3=24%      wii=104.40  360=32.40 PS3=43.20

        200mil                                                       wii=60%  360=16.5%  PS3=23.5%   wii=120       360=33.00  PS3=47.00

 total gen if 211.34mil sold        wii=109.81   360=53.96   PS3=49.17

                   241.34mil sold        wii=129.11   360=57.46   PS3=55.67

                   281.34mil sold        wii=153.71   360=62.56   PS3=65.07

                   301.34mil sold        wii=169.32   360=63.16   PS3=68.87

this is a re-worked thread taking into account a few sound points brought out in the last one

these are est. numbers and will have some holes may have slight errors but the end is not going to change much

I cut it short as I lost this once

any other idea's

as you can see from my est. I think that the Ps3 is more likely to pass the 360 the longer the gen goes also it will possibly go alittle longer as agreater share of HD numbers show a full breackdown I can't give as I don't have enough time.

Ps3 80M, X360 70, Wii i don't know but will probably drop to 40% marketshare.

@Zlejedi
while this is possible that would put wii at 100mil this would be a very large decline so much so that for the Ps3 to make 80mil it would have to sell almost the same as the wii.

also sorry but the nubers seem to have messed up a bit

Not really it only assumes that Wii will be replaced by Wii HD in 2-3 years while Sony will keep selling PS3 in the same way they did to PS2.

@Zlejedi

good point,though this would seem to put 360 to high I have my doubts that the wii will be replaced if all three consoles are still selling and have not been replace. as the market leader normally last the longest.