End of November? That's in... 35 weeks?

So, you believe Wii will outsell Ps360 by 63K/week.

I didn't mean to make any conclusions in my previous post actually (just intended to write some math for reference, then got caught in and wrote too much).

Wii did, on average, outsell Ps360 by 60K/week last year.

From start of April to end of November, it was 77K.

End of November seems plausible...

So, my answer is (drumrolls while writing)... November! (Stars fall down from the sky, like in Mario Party)

Hurray for agreement!

 I change my choice to October.

Can you see my avatar? I can't.

Soon after the Motion+ release.

Soon is my guess with that being by years end. If the PS3 gets a price drop then it will simply steal sales from the 360 and vice versa is the 360 gets a price cut wo no winning for them. Wii should finish with market share at around 60% which is quite something, how I love pulling numbers out my arse.

this won't be the case if ps3 exclusives start hitting it big. When's ff13 demo out? And when is the Japan release.

That oct prediction could be hard with the dsi coming out and other things possibly taking sales from the wii, like a lack of games.

It really really depends on ps3 big name releases like GoW3, FF13, GT, and others.

 60%? I'm kinda in the mood for writing numbers today.

If you believe that Ps360 will sell

Ps3: 45-55M and X360 45-55M, that would leave 60% marketshare at around 135-165M.

If Ps3 = 55-65M and X360 = 55-65M, that would leave 60% marketshare at 165-195M.

If Ps3 = 65-75M and X360 = 65-75M, that would leave 60% at 195-225M.

Which do you think will be the case?

Personally, I'm at

Ps3: 45-60M

X360: 45-60M

Wii: 140-160M.

So that's at ~ 59% marketshare. I guess I agree with you.

Well this is a case of 360+PS3 vs Wii

That means GT5, Forza 3, Alan Wake, FFXIII, Versus etc vs Wii titles

It will be a tug of war all the way through, this gen is not like last gen where PS2 just farted all over it's competition and took huge makert share. Considering I think Wii will sell more than PS2 it really does show how much the gaming market has expanded.

Still stand by it getting to 60% but that is by the end of it's lifecycle, will take a long long time.

Near the end of the year. Sony and MS had a pretty good line up of games the last few months compared to the Wii slimmer pickings. But as we head into drought periods the Wii will hold on. As we reach the holidays the usual Wii pickup will occur. So by end of this year. Give or take 1-2 months.

i think if everything stays the same as it is now it is going to be sometime during or right after Christmas 09

if the PS3 gets a $100 price cut and the Wii doesn't get any price cut at all i think it wont be until the end of the first quarter 2010