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Forums - General - Anyone still think Blu-ray is going to make it?

I have always thought movies would go the way of music although I have repeatedly heard that it is not likely due to file size constraints.  But the figures in this article have to be a mjor blow to any chance Blu-ray had:

http://tech.yahoo.com/blogs/null/123584

I'll say it again, Blu-ray will never have a chance to gain any real market share before everything is digital, just like music.  Why Sony would canabalize their Playstation brand for an obvious failure is still beyond me.



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I think it will make it, apparently there's a new HD Format being released this year too compete with Blu-Ray, however i think this "New" Format will fail. Blu-Ray as a HD Format has 80% of the Market.



Typically the internet infrastructure in most countries is not sufficient to allow practical delivery of high definition content. So HD IPTV is a long way off for most of us. The preferable and most practical method of distribution for HD content is still optical media and that is why we had a format wars between blu-ray and HD-DVD. Conversely, I personally believe that optical media will one day be replaced by solid state media and not downloads due to the reliability of the medium which makes it desirable. But by that time we would all probably be watching autostereoscopic displays which would make optical media and solid state media again more desirable than downloaded media again.

Also so much investment has taken place within the production and distribution of blu-ray technology that it has zero chance of losing support. The key to winning format wars is Content and blu-ray has been invested heavily in just about every distributor and producer going so it's hardly likely to be abandoned for the next few years.

So in short - Blu ray will be with us until sales drop... which is at least five years away, perhaps even ten methinks.



Hmmm, how about we post some numbers of how analysts have been repeatedly disappointed at how a standalone video pay service has failed to take off.

Even Netflix is running their video streaming service at a loss. The problem is that people LIKE this stuff, but they aren't willing to PAY for it.

And you are quoting figures from a year in which the economy was in a recession the entire year. If you think these numbers are definitive of anything, you are fooling yourself.



We had two bags of grass, seventy-five pellets of mescaline, five sheets of high-powered blotter acid, a salt shaker half full of cocaine, a whole galaxy of multi-colored uppers, downers, screamers, laughers…Also a quart of tequila, a quart of rum, a case of beer, a pint of raw ether and two dozen amyls.  The only thing that really worried me was the ether.  There is nothing in the world more helpless and irresponsible and depraved than a man in the depths of an ether binge. –Raoul Duke

It is hard to shed anything but crocodile tears over White House speechwriter Patrick Buchanan's tragic analysis of the Nixon debacle. "It's like Sisyphus," he said. "We rolled the rock all the way up the mountain...and it rolled right back down on us...."  Neither Sisyphus nor the commander of the Light Brigade nor Pat Buchanan had the time or any real inclination to question what they were doing...a martyr, to the bitter end, to a "flawed" cause and a narrow, atavistic concept of conservative politics that has done more damage to itself and the country in less than six years than its liberal enemies could have done in two or three decades. -Hunter S. Thompson

Not to mention the quality of content on Blu-Ray discs is significantly higher than HD downloads and streaming. Most people who are interested in HD are already pretty concerned with the quality of the picture. HD downloads, while convenient, aren't as much of an upgrade in picture AND sound quality as Blu-Ray.



We had two bags of grass, seventy-five pellets of mescaline, five sheets of high-powered blotter acid, a salt shaker half full of cocaine, a whole galaxy of multi-colored uppers, downers, screamers, laughers…Also a quart of tequila, a quart of rum, a case of beer, a pint of raw ether and two dozen amyls.  The only thing that really worried me was the ether.  There is nothing in the world more helpless and irresponsible and depraved than a man in the depths of an ether binge. –Raoul Duke

It is hard to shed anything but crocodile tears over White House speechwriter Patrick Buchanan's tragic analysis of the Nixon debacle. "It's like Sisyphus," he said. "We rolled the rock all the way up the mountain...and it rolled right back down on us...."  Neither Sisyphus nor the commander of the Light Brigade nor Pat Buchanan had the time or any real inclination to question what they were doing...a martyr, to the bitter end, to a "flawed" cause and a narrow, atavistic concept of conservative politics that has done more damage to itself and the country in less than six years than its liberal enemies could have done in two or three decades. -Hunter S. Thompson

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Bluray never needs to reach mass market. For broadcasting, on demand, and downloading HD filming and production aren't going any where. As long as there's enough people who want a disc, with certain quality levels and features (and nothing better marketed) to make it profitable, Bluray will continue. The thing with discs and Bluray pricing is that that number doesn't need to be that big. Discs do not cost that much to produce or distribute.



I would cite regulation, but I know you will simply ignore it.

Yeah blu-ray will make it. not to the levels of DVD, but movie downloads are a long way off, lets face it, they arent going to be the main way to watch movies for a while



I hope my 360 doesn't RRoD
         "Suck my balls!" - Tag courtesy of Fkusmot

Sure I do... it's just going to take a long time... and be forced.

There is a "high" chance of failure but it's less then 50%.

It's no DVD that's for sure when it comes to market conquering despite peoples claims to the contrary.



I just like discs and actually owning my stuff. As much as I talk about illegal downloading being bad, I also think companies are ripping people off with DD because of ownership issues.



I would cite regulation, but I know you will simply ignore it.

I think the general rule of the thumb inside the industry (at least in Australia) is that the sales are disappointing. That however doesn't mean we wont support the format. If profits there, it'll be supported.

I think the general nature of the industry is becoming more de-centralised. No longer will we have only TV broadcasts, dvd retail sales and the cinema. Cinema and TV broadcasting aren't going anywhere, but the way we buy our movies will change. Brick and Mortar sales will remain but things like itunes will offer avenues for buying over the internet. Let alone video on demand services and streaming services.

Its a very exciting (but challenging time).