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Forums - Sales - Jan 3rd Prediction league fixed!

The prediction league for end of the year sales has now had it's results added.

I think, looking at the various accuracies, I came 3rd for accuracy behind KillerGran and Zexen_Lowe..... and third for money won behind Nordlead (of course) and Sqrl.

Here are my results.... feel free to post your own.

Item Prediction Bet Actual Accuracy
95,000,000 vg$ 800 95,937,086 99.02%
45,000,000 vg$ 500 44,338,328 98.51%
26,500,000 vg$ 500 27,270,610 97.17%
21,100,000 vg$ 300 19,505,519 91.83%
45,000,000 vg$ 400 43,629,672 96.86%


------

And the average results for all those who entered: (mainly bad because of a few confusions with the numbers, and some who just like to mess things up by posting 1 for everything)

Item Average Bets Actual Accuracy
82,014,134 vg$ 7,715 95,937,086 85.49%
32,548,442 vg$ 7,090 44,338,328 73.41%
19,157,660 vg$ 6,165 27,270,610 70.25%
15,321,176 vg$ 6,855 19,505,519 78.55%
32,485,270 vg$ 5,405 43,629,672 74.46%

 



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here are some details on the results

http://www.vgchartz.com/forum/post.php?id=1781854

EDIT: there are some aditional comments about that round at the end of that thread too.




If you drop a PS3 right on top of a Wii, it would definitely defeat it. Not so sure about the Xbox360. - mancandy
In the past we played games. In the future we watch games. - Forest-Spirit
11/03/09 Desposit: Mod Bribery (RolStoppable)  vg$ 500.00
06/03/09 Purchase: Moderator Privilege  vg$ -50,000.00

Nordlead Jr. Photo/Video Gallery!!! (Video Added 4/19/10)

anyways, since I like to talk PL stuff.

I managed a 99.98% for DS. PS3, and X360 threw me off, with the PS3 doing worse than I expected, and X360 doing better.

Item Prediction Bet Actual Accuracy
95,960,595 vg$ 1,000 95,937,086 99.98%
45,498,875 vg$ 1,000 44,338,328 97.38%
25,695,661 vg$ 1,000 27,270,610 94.22%
21,861,918 vg$ 1,000 19,505,519 87.92%
44,613,243 vg$ 1,000 43,629,672 97.75%



If you drop a PS3 right on top of a Wii, it would definitely defeat it. Not so sure about the Xbox360. - mancandy
In the past we played games. In the future we watch games. - Forest-Spirit
11/03/09 Desposit: Mod Bribery (RolStoppable)  vg$ 500.00
06/03/09 Purchase: Moderator Privilege  vg$ -50,000.00

Nordlead Jr. Photo/Video Gallery!!! (Video Added 4/19/10)

PS3 threw me off too, and PSP I expected to have been adjusted upward but wasn't (but still wasn't too bad on it)



TWRoO, if you check out the post I linked to, you actually came in 5th in Accruacy. (bump )




If you drop a PS3 right on top of a Wii, it would definitely defeat it. Not so sure about the Xbox360. - mancandy
In the past we played games. In the future we watch games. - Forest-Spirit
11/03/09 Desposit: Mod Bribery (RolStoppable)  vg$ 500.00
06/03/09 Purchase: Moderator Privilege  vg$ -50,000.00

Nordlead Jr. Photo/Video Gallery!!! (Video Added 4/19/10)

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nordlead said:
TWRoO, if you check out the post I linked to, you actually came in 5th in Accruacy. (bump )

Yes I noticed

I still did well though And according to your scoring method that I don't understand I was 3rd overall for the week.

 



Item Prediction Bet Actual Accuracy
96,500,000 vg$ 5 95,937,086 99.41%
44,600,000 vg$ 25 44,338,328 99.41%
26,300,000 vg$ 5 27,270,610 96.44%
21,200,000 vg$ 5 19,505,519 91.31%
44,550,000 vg$ 5 43,629,672 97.89%

Nice, rocked in Nintendo consoles. Both at 99.41%! PSP and PS3 overshot, 360 undershot like just about everyone else...

Kinda funny how I got highest winnings ratio. I couldn't bet much on this round because

  • I didn't have money at the time.
  • Even if I did, it'd take forever for it to return... better off investing in the smaller rounds!


I'm a bit surprised DS ended up only 96mil.



TWRoO said:
nordlead said:
TWRoO, if you check out the post I linked to, you actually came in 5th in Accruacy. (bump )

Yes I noticed

I still did well though And according to your scoring method that I don't understand I was 3rd overall for the week.

 

if you participated in the main thread, you would know what it is

anyways, it is a sum of the three types of rankings. Winnings Ratio (winnings/bets*100), Accuracy, and Winnings. You got 3rd, 5th, and 14th, so you had 22 points total. The less points the better.

 




If you drop a PS3 right on top of a Wii, it would definitely defeat it. Not so sure about the Xbox360. - mancandy
In the past we played games. In the future we watch games. - Forest-Spirit
11/03/09 Desposit: Mod Bribery (RolStoppable)  vg$ 500.00
06/03/09 Purchase: Moderator Privilege  vg$ -50,000.00

Nordlead Jr. Photo/Video Gallery!!! (Video Added 4/19/10)

nordlead said:
TWRoO said:
nordlead said:
TWRoO, if you check out the post I linked to, you actually came in 5th in Accruacy. (bump )

Yes I noticed

I still did well though And according to your scoring method that I don't understand I was 3rd overall for the week.

 

if you participated in the main thread, you would know what it is

anyways, it is a sum of the three types of rankings. Winnings Ratio (winnings/bets*100), Accuracy, and Winnings. You got 3rd, 5th, and 14th, so you had 22 points total. The less points the better.

 

Hey don't be sad.... you never made a prediction in my thread after saying you would when you asked me to advertise the league in it.

And thanks... so it is theoretically possible to get as low s 3 points... but given your grasp on the total winnings it is unlikely anyone but yourself will get that low.

 



LTD Worldwide Chart, 02nd January 2009 predictions by kirby007

Item Prediction Bet Actual Accuracy
96,000,000 vg$ 400 95,937,086 99.93%
45,500,000 vg$ 400 44,338,328 97.38%
26,000,000 vg$ 400 27,270,610 95.34%
21,900,000 vg$ 400 19,505,519 87.72%
44,900,000 vg$ 400 43,629,672 97.09%


 "I think people should define the word crap" - Kirby007

Join the Prediction League http://www.vgchartz.com/predictions

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