The problem with your theory, stof, is that Monster Hunter 2 was released after Monster Hunter Freedom, but it didn't reach the same sales as it's portable brother. Yes it did increase, more than double.

320k first week.

Hard to preditc.

Very first MH that started all this MH madness in Japan was MHF for PSP, which initally show no sign of being a million-seller (exactly the same sales first week like it predecessors), but eventually got legs and... 1M. Since first success of MH series came out three games: MH2 for PS2, MHF2 and MHFU for PSP. All games got serious boost in sales comparing to first two titles: 370k (MH2, PS2) -> 740k (MHF2, PSP) -> 860k (MHFU, PSP) - those are first week sales. So as you may see even PS2 version sold relatively good, but for some reason haven't got legs and despite of strong first week sold worse than first MH for PSP, which started only with 120k in first week.

Capcom definitely trying to transfer MH series succces to home consoles. As you may know they're going to port MHG from PS2 to Wii (MHF on PSP is a extended port of this game), building up MH fanbase on Wii console. So I assume after release of MHG on Wii we may predict MH3 sales quite accurately.

Until that time I doubt it will be such a success as MHF2, MHFU, but at the same time MH3 could do a lot better than all PS2 games and even MHF. So I'd say up to 400k first week, around 1.5M life-time at least.

Hm, you got the point, BUT... why do MH2 on PS2 with strong first week sold only 630k according to VGChartz? It should have done twice as that.

lol! RPG, you are so obsessed with this game. No one here ever said the game was going to sell a bazillion copies, yet you lead a vanguard that consists of only yourself that proclaims the game won't do as well as the PSP versions.

No one is disagreeing with you! Which is why this is so funny.

Anyways, I think 300k - 500k first week playing it pretty safe.

I think it can do 1.5m LTD in Japan. Most likely it will sell less though.

Wrong, people actually think the Wii version will sell like the PSP versions, some think it will sell more.

Where are these people?

On this forum of course, have a look at how many people are hying MH3 on this forum since it went to Wii. Countless people saying Wii will "win" in Japan due to MH3 and this was well before DQ X was announced.

Your not going to win a region with a 800k seller, people on THIS forum are expecting PSP numbers for this one which is just LULZ worthy.

Well i believe 450k-500k first week and 1.5m lifetime, Japan only.

Worldwide it should reach 2m or 2.5m if Capcom advertises it a lot.

And where are their posts? I'm not seeing them. Also, the Wii has already won Japan, DQX and MH3 are a confirmation of this. I do think that MH3 might give it a boost. The only person expecting extremely high numbers is you.