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Forums - Microsoft - Does the 360 have any real exclusives?

bugrimmar said:
try taking out the exclusives from before the ps3 was released. it's an unfair comparison at the moment if you include them since the 360 was the only HD console in the market and therefore had no true competition.

 

Sounds like you're kind of whining, see this argument could easily be turned around that "it's unfair that PS3 came out later cause it allowed them to make a more powerful system", "developers had a year to develop for an HD system and when PS3 came out it easily took games that would have been exclusive to 360", and "Since these developers had the practice they could make exclusive PS3 titles faster then 360 when it first launched" so on and so on...



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But that was the whole point of my post, Fum:

People will choose to see things more clearly that support their own prejudices. 

You can say the same thing two different ways and only believe one, but both can be true.

The head start will "always" be a mitigating factor for PS3 fanboys, and will "always" be an important advantage to take into account for 360 fanboys.  That's just the way that prejudice filters data.

 

Alic

 

 



 

Alic0004 said:

But that was the whole point of my post, Fum:

People will choose to see things more clearly that support their own prejudices. 

You can say the same thing two different ways and only believe one, but both can be true.

The head start will "always" be a mitigating factor for PS3 fanboys, and will "always" be an important advantage to take into account for 360 fanboys.  That's just the way that prejudice filters data.

 

Alic

 

 

I do agree with the bolded. I knew these crowds would appear. However, I needed a comparison point otherwise any findings wouldn't mean anything to anybody. The data doesn't seem significant unless I put it up against something, and that something was the PS3 because of the history of the misconception I was trying to prove wrong. Regardless of how the data is split, or whether PS3 or 360 wins, ultimately I wanted to show that the 360 did have a comparable amount of true exclusives and they were not considered to be crap using something most people could get behind, which is Metacritic or Gamerankings.

I still believe the way you're splitting data isn't a good way to do it, because each section isn't of equal stature. You can question how effective my breakdown is, but at least I'm using a fairly popular method of breaking things down which is at the 10th percentile. I wanted everything I used to be familiar and acceptable to most people here so there was less resistance with the findings. Nowhere in the findings did I shove any prejudices I have onto them.

 



Tag: Became a freaking mod and a complete douche, coincidentally, at the same time.



I still think it offers very little in the way of compelling exclusives for someone like me who owns a PS3 and gaming PC.

Fable and Gears will eventually make it to PC, so that just leaves...

Forza (GT5 will destroy it)
DOA4 (who cares, Tekken and Street Fighter are coming)
Halo (I've played enough of this already)
PGR4 and Dead Rising (I would actually like to play these)
Saints Row (why would I play this when I could play SR2?)
Ninja Gaiden II (NG's too hard for me :P plus I have Bayonetta and GOWIII to look forward to)
The rest I probably wouldn't play even if I did have a 360.


But that's just me.

Edit: forgot to mention, Tales will probably never release in Europe.



--OkeyDokey-- said:
I still think it offers very little in the way of compelling exclusives for someone like me who owns a PS3 and gaming PC.

Fable and Gears will eventually make it to PC, so that just leaves...

Forza (GT5 will destroy it)
DOA4 (who cares, Tekken and Street Fighter are coming)
PGR4 and Dead Rising (I would actually like to play these)
Saints Row (why would I play this when I could play SR2?)
Ninja Gaiden II (NG's too hard for me :P plus I have Bayonetta and GOWIII to look forward to)
The rest I probably wouldn't play even if I did have a 360.


But that's just me.

That's fine. Everyone is entitled to their opinion. This is meant in a much more general sense.

It is worth noting though that it required two different platforms in tandem to cancel out the 360 for you.

 



Tag: Became a freaking mod and a complete douche, coincidentally, at the same time.



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Onyxmeth said:
Alic0004 said:

This is a silly post, as I’m sure everyone involved knows, at least on some level. First off, the OP clings faithfully to wonderful, pure, unbiased data in order to discuss something which I think we all know is anything but unbiased on these forums; the incessant fanboy wars. Unfortunately for all of us, we can't afford to be this naive in the utilitarian world we live in, at least when it comes to more important things. Collections of data are rarely trustworthy when there is an emotional motivation behind them – the eye sees what it likes, the heart quickens in anticipation, and the hand takes a snapshot which rarely manages to include the whole picture, let alone get all the angles.

I don’t want to spend very much time here because I’m in the middle of making a gun-toting fiery deathmatch level in LBP (working title: “Sack-man: Arena of Fiery Death”) but I just wanted to show the same data for a moment, sliced a different way.

Instead of looking at 90+ and 80+ groups, lets try 95+ and 85+ groups. I’ve also put in the review averages so that people can see for themselves where else scores could be cut off (there are more advantageous places for both systems).


95+

360
None

PS3
LittleBigPlanet 95

85+

360
Halo 3 94
Gears of War 2 93
Forza Motorsport 2 90
Fable II (PC port?)
Project Gotham Racing 3 88
Dead or Alive 4 85
Dead Rising 85
Project Gotham Racing 4 85

PS3
Metal Gear Solid 4 94
Ratchet and Clank Future: Tools of Destruction 89
Uncharted: Drake's Fortune 88
Valkyria Chronicles 87
Resistance 2 87
Resistance: Fall of Man 86


So the 360 has one exclusive at 85%+ more than the PS3 does, if we slice the data in a different place. But the PS3 has the only 95+ exclusive. Interesting!

All of the sudden, it looks pretty even. And all a result of throwing out the main assumption made in the OP: that cutoffs should be made in the most obvious place, at 80 and 90.

Of course, you have to draw the line somewhere when you collect data like this, but here’s the thing: By not examining the way that your results shift when you move the lines, by not challenging your own basic assumptions, you make a weaker foundation for your argument, and you end up with something that is more wishful thinking than conclusive data.
I want to point out that my results are not a fluke: by shifting the cutoff points to any number of different places, the 360 or the PS3 can come out way ahead. I’m sure it was random chance that 80+ and 90+ happened to show the 360 in an unusually advantageous light, but when results can change this much depending on the method applied, the underlying finding has to be that the data is inconclusive, and not that some irrefutable fact has been unearthed.

The most useful thing that can be done in data sets like this is to take a step back, list the review scores themselves, and let people in on your reasoning process as you attempt to organize the data. That’s what I’ve tried to do here.


Alic

The problem with the way you're organizing the data is that each grouping isn't equal. If your point was to split the listing into groups of every 5th percentile instead of every 10th, that I can get on board with. Sliding the scale to fit different scenarios isn't a way to measure anything. Your top and bottom groups would only consist of of 5% each and the rest would account for 10%. I've kept it even in every category and have organized it in the exact same way everyone else does around here. 5th percentile works too. But not a sliding scale of different measurements. In your world, we can simply slide the scale to a hundred different combinations and they are all of equal stature. Why not just make it look like this?

96-100%
93-95%
84-94%
57-83%
54-57%
31-53%
1-30%

This has as much chance of working as anything else correct? I used 10% because people understand it. They understand 5%. I don't think anyone other than yourself sees the point in making cutoffs wherever we feel like it to get a hundred different results.

 

 

Hey Onyx, thanks for responding. I should have made it clearer what I was objecting to in the thread. In your original post, you say, "I see a lot of misconception, especially from fans of a certain other console and from people saying PS3/PC is the way to go. So I took it up to see if this were true. Here are the findings, no spin required."

In every category of your original post, you find that the 360 has more exclusives. As an owner of both systems, that didn't mesh with my personal experience this year, which was that they were about even (only got the PS3 a few months ago) so I looked up the actual review scores for the games you listed.

What I found was that a shift in the criteria shows the PS3 equalling or outperforming the 360, at least in the upper reaches of the metacritic spectrum (I didn't take the time to do the lower rated games because I'm pretty sure the 360 would come out ahead).

85% is a perfectly reasonable cutoff for categorizing game reviews; 95% is a bit ridiculous given the lack of games in that category -- chalk that one up to my LBP fanboyism (which I freely admit!) I'm not aware of any statistical methodology that requires all percentages to be sorted in tens, or even one that requires the increments always be even, as long as they aren't too ridiculous and obviously biased. In fact, I've seen 85+ used a lot when companies brag about their ratings.

If Microsoft came out with an add saying "360 has more exclusive games rated 80+" and Sony came out with a press release after Killzone 2 (assuming it does well) saying "PS3 has caught up on exclusive games rated 85+" I don't think anyone would persuasively argue that one of the companies' was screwing up the data or doing something people don't understand.

If on the other hand one of them tried to use your crazy but awesome list of percentages above, it would be pretty hilarious. . . and a little scary.


Anyway, I objected because -- I thought -- you presented your post as factual evidence that the 360 categorically outperforms the PS3 in number of exclusives when sorted by rating, both in high rated games and low rated games. I pointed out that, depending on where you draw the line, it's actually pretty much the same number of highly rated exclusives. If I sounded like I was making an impassioned argument for the PS3 being "better", I really wasn't trying to -- I was just poking a hole in your system, arguing with what I thought was your argument, and pointing out to the legion that jumped on the bandwagon, that not everyone who disagrees with them is the victim of a "misconception."

I didn't think that your post was intentionally misleading at all, and the only thing that annoyed me about it was that it served as firepower for a bunch of fanboys to try to expand their territory, for lack of a better metaphor. Plenty of exclusives that aren't on PC, sure. Dominating the PS3? I definitely wouldn't tell that to any friend of mine who was trying to decide between the two. (Though I'd probably recommend the 360, because of the price, unless I thought they'd like LBP).

 

Alic

 

 

 



 

Onyxmeth said:
--OkeyDokey-- said:
I still think it offers very little in the way of compelling exclusives for someone like me who owns a PS3 and gaming PC.

Fable and Gears will eventually make it to PC, so that just leaves...

Forza (GT5 will destroy it)
DOA4 (who cares, Tekken and Street Fighter are coming)
PGR4 and Dead Rising (I would actually like to play these)
Saints Row (why would I play this when I could play SR2?)
Ninja Gaiden II (NG's too hard for me :P plus I have Bayonetta and GOWIII to look forward to)
The rest I probably wouldn't play even if I did have a 360.


But that's just me.

That's fine. Everyone is entitled to their opinion. This is meant in a much more general sense.

It is worth noting though that it required two different platforms in tandem to cancel out the 360 for you.

 

 

Same goes for me, though I got some people apparently mad or something by stating the same thing, I really can't see a reason investing in a 360 if you have a PS3 and a gaming PC since you get the same game with typically more options, free online, and better graphics plus the options to use a USB controller and hook your PC up to a TV so no real reason to invest if you ask me.  You have some exclusives but as OkeyD said there are the ones here and there that you want to play but then there's the better games in the same genre that are multiplatform.



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Alic0004 said:

Hey Onyx, thanks for responding. I should have made it clearer what I was objecting to in the thread. In your original post, you say, "I see a lot of misconception, especially from fans of a certain other console and from people saying PS3/PC is the way to go. So I took it up to see if this were true. Here are the findings, no spin required."

In every category of your original post, you find that the 360 has more exclusives. As an owner of both systems, that didn't mesh with my personal experience this year, which was that they were about even (only got the PS3 a few months ago) so I looked up the actual review scores for the games you listed.

Well to be fair, you were thinking of it in terms of 2008, which is a part of this piece I hadn't gotten to yet, which is showing a trend in year after year. Thankfully miboukami did the work, so we actually can see both console makers have been improving their number of exclusives year in and year out.

What I found was that a shift in the criteria shows the PS3 equalling or outperforming the 360, at least in the upper reaches of the metacritic spectrum (I didn't take the time to do the lower rated games because I'm pretty sure the 360 would come out ahead).

85% is a perfectly reasonable cutoff for categorizing game reviews; 95% is a bit ridiculous given the lack of games in that category -- chalk that one up to my LBP fanboyism (which I freely admit!) I'm not aware of any statistical methodology that requires all percentages to be sorted in tens, or even one that requires the increments always be even, as long as they aren't too ridiculous and obviously biased. In fact, I've seen 85+ used a lot when companies brag about their ratings.

I agree that 85% is a reasonable cutoff. All I'm saying is that if we're going to cut like that, then let's just cut every category into fives and then each category is equal to the next.

If Microsoft came out with an add saying "360 has more exclusive games rated 80+" and Sony came out with a press release after Killzone 2 (assuming it does well) saying "PS3 has caught up on exclusive games rated 85+" I don't think anyone would persuasively argue that one of the companies' was screwing up the data or doing something people don't understand.

Getting past the fact that everyone calls bullshit on both parties' PR constantly, no one would question it. However I'm seperating into categories, and they are merely stating a single number, which is a different measurement in itself. My point wasn't to show who had better exclusives. It was to show that 360 has a comparable amount of exclusives in every general cutoff point so it couldn't be said that a giant list of 62 exclusives were all crap and shovelware.

If on the other hand one of them tried to use your crazy but awesome list of percentages above, it would be pretty hilarious. . . and a little scary.


Anyway, I objected because -- I thought -- you presented your post as factual evidence that the 360 categorically outperforms the PS3 in number of exclusives when sorted by rating, both in high rated games and low rated games. I pointed out that, depending on where you draw the line, it's actually pretty much the same number of highly rated exclusives. If I sounded like I was making an impassioned argument for the PS3 being "better", I really wasn't trying to -- I was just poking a hole in your system, arguing with what I thought was your argument, and pointing out to the legion that jumped on the bandwagon, that not everyone who disagrees with them is the victim of a "misconception."

Even if I draw the line where you suggested and the PS3 comes out with exactly the same amount of highly rated games, my conclusion doesn't change. It still shows that 360 is not merely a bunch of good shared PC titles and barely any real exclusives. The exclusive library can stand on it's own in a general sense. It has variety, high scoring games, and is comparable to it's nearest competition. That's all I needed to debunk the myth.

I didn't think that your post was intentionally misleading at all, and the only thing that annoyed me about it was that it served as firepower for a bunch of fanboys to try to expand their territory, for lack of a better metaphor. Plenty of exclusives that aren't on PC, sure. Dominating the PS3? I definitely wouldn't tell that to any friend of mine who was trying to decide between the two. (Though I'd probably recommend the 360, because of the price, unless I thought they'd like LBP).

Unfortunately, there was no way to avoid the fanboy reactions from both sides. It was inevitable. I do figure the Metacritic addition helped keep them more at ease rather than me not including them though. I tried my best to back everyone into a corner so they couldn't brush this away as bullshit, so I left my opinions at home and came equipped with data that most of this site agrees is fairly equal across both platforms. I'm happy with how it's turned out so far because I've had numerous people in here that were duped into believing in the myth say that they were shocked to see the 360 stand on it's own against the PS3 in exclusives. Does it take every conceievable factor into account? No. Does it prove my original point though? Abolutely 100% yes. The benefit is that the next time someone tries to spew that tired old line, someone can link them to this thread and that person can eat their crow.

It's Onyxmeth0314 on PSN by the way. I don't have LBP yet, but maybe we'll both have something we can rock out to online.

 

Alic

 

 

 

Answers in red.

 



Tag: Became a freaking mod and a complete douche, coincidentally, at the same time.



Dead Rising 2 just announced as multiplat.

See this is exactly what I mean. Why would I buy a 360 for Dead Rising when I'll be able to play its superior sequel on my PS3?



MaxwellGT2000 said:
Onyxmeth said:
--OkeyDokey-- said:
I still think it offers very little in the way of compelling exclusives for someone like me who owns a PS3 and gaming PC.

Fable and Gears will eventually make it to PC, so that just leaves...

Forza (GT5 will destroy it)
DOA4 (who cares, Tekken and Street Fighter are coming)
PGR4 and Dead Rising (I would actually like to play these)
Saints Row (why would I play this when I could play SR2?)
Ninja Gaiden II (NG's too hard for me :P plus I have Bayonetta and GOWIII to look forward to)
The rest I probably wouldn't play even if I did have a 360.


But that's just me.

That's fine. Everyone is entitled to their opinion. This is meant in a much more general sense.

It is worth noting though that it required two different platforms in tandem to cancel out the 360 for you.

 

 

Same goes for me, though I got some people apparently mad or something by stating the same thing, I really can't see a reason investing in a 360 if you have a PS3 and a gaming PC since you get the same game with typically more options, free online, and better graphics plus the options to use a USB controller and hook your PC up to a TV so no real reason to invest if you ask me.  You have some exclusives but as OkeyD said there are the ones here and there that you want to play but then there's the better games in the same genre that are multiplatform.

No.

That argument better applies to the PS3 than it does to the Xbox 360.

 



Tease.