Well, it's that time of year. A new year has begun, so it's time to look back and see how close your sales predictions were (or are... hmm).

Here are my sales predictions for 2008, and some of the reasons they are what they are. These predictions were made sometime in March if I'm not mistaken.

Predictions for end of 2008 (2008 totals):

Wii: 44.48 million (25.15 million) - At the time I made this prediction, the number of Wiis that Nintendo could manufacture was around 1.8/ month, and I wasn't sure they would increase it again, and if they did, I didn't think it would be enough to drastically change how much they sold for the year.
360: 25.07 million (8.97 million) - With increased pressure from the PS3, sales would stagnate, and would only see slight increases over 2007 sales.
PS3: 21.26 million (12.4 million) - Better pricing, better (or more) games, more sales. Enough said.

Obviously this is not how things turned out. Here's the actual sales for end of 2008, and 2008 totals. Note that I consider any week that has more than 4 days in one year as part of that year. Thus the week ending Jan 3rd, 2009 is part of 2008, which means 2008 is a 53 week year, and I also had to estimate Japans sales by taking the average of the range of sales from the Japan preview, since Japan won't make a large difference overall.

Actual Sales for end of 2008 (2008 totals):

Wii: 46.05 million (26.85 million)
360: 27.37 million (11.49 million)
PS3: 19.44 million (10.59 million)

Now for the comparison:

Overall, I wasn't that far off. If I would have readjusted the Wii's sales after Nintendo raised their production to 2.4 in July, I probably could have been closer, but since it's a prediction I should have predicted they would do that.

As for the 360 and PS3, I find it interesting that I was only 500k off their combined total, which somewhat shows that sales of one means less sales of the other. I had predicted that it would be the 360 hurting from the sales of the 360, but with the 360 price cut and no price cut response from Sony, it really hurt the PS3, and thus really helped the 360. The announcement of FF13 for the 360 might have helped as well.

How did your predictions turn out?

Everything is as it should be; I'm glad to see Nintendo on top again.