BengaBenga said:
gavind5uk said: BD isnt in competition with DVD, it is a replacement system and as said a million times over, the studios have decided on blueray, which means in the long term its game over for DVD. |
You're kidding right?
If not you don't really get who decides which format will eventually take over from DVD. It's not the studio's and not the BluRay association. It's the costumers. The only reason studio's want to switch to BluRay is that they have bigger margins. Problem is that prizes need to come down for mass market adoption and therefore margins will come down. And eventually the incentives given by the BR association will stop.
Plus BluRay is so far too expenive for smaller/indie studio's.
It's unwise to ignore digital distribution as a viable platform for HD films.
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Digital distribution is pie in the sky for another 10 years or so, 99% of computers are not connected to TV's due to lack of technical know how, logisical (most computers arent sat next to TVs) and then there are people who plain dont want it connected up. Media centre setups are more of a niche than blue ray that is for sure. I wont get into the obvious issues of connection speeds because that has been covered ad nasium and that little problem on its own turns the enmass digital distro into a non starter as a competitor to blue ray.
So with digital and hd dvd out of the picture the studio's are putting all their backing behind blueray, with a view in the long run to phase out the dvd, and i think alot of people overestimate the technical knowledge of the general public, once the BD players are a fairly cheap item, say £60-70, advertisements as simple as 'blueray is new and shiny' will be enough to draw most punters in. If consumers want HD with the ease of use of a DVD player then blue ray is the only option given to them, thats what i mean when i say it is not the consumer who decides.
And again the fact that i think is most overlooked in this discussion is that there are new buyers coming to the market everyday having not had a player of any description before, they have no libraries they hold dear, or gripes about having spent $$$ on their last system.
At the end of the day the vast majority of arguments citing why the blueray will fail, expense of films, expense of players, people dont need it (DVD is good enough, even for people who dont own any DVD's apparently) etc. The fact is, if any of these arguments held water in the long term sales of a product, then right now we would all be still watching VHS as DVD would have died a death years ago.