NA is up for week ending 22nd august and with 100 dollar price-cuts in effect yet the wii only sells 1.7K less than PS3 and 400 less than 360...I know the hd twins outsold the wii but by only 1.7k and 400 and thats much cause wii has nothing while ps3 and 360 got 100 dollar pricecuts...

The 360 is aimed at American males, and those not in the Wii's target zones. The PS3 targets the exact same age category, with a particular focus on those who snub American products.

Your post reveals your fanboyism, the PS3 and 360 target identical groups. What does the PS3 have to target older people than the xbox?

As for the Wii having a "clear lock on the mature gamer." What? Studies show that most "mature gamers" who own a Wii keep it in a closet. Some women(many of which use things like Wii Fit, and not games at all) and mostly young kids are the ones that play it all the time.

nope 46 % or 47% end 2009.

The only market left is that of the ''cheap-gamers'', the ones that are still on their PS2s. I don't know the background of that market, for all we know they are shooter fans with a lowe budget and they will switch to PS3. On top of that we shouldnt underestimate the full body controllers of the HD-twins. With the right promotion they could take over the Wii. For those who already have a Wii it might be too soon but lastgen PS2 sold 120-140 units so there are enough gamers left to get to this gen. Nothing is set in stone, including the Wii's victory. OFcourse it has already a huge advantage so I won't deny that it has very good odds to win this generation. 50% marketshare is a possibility if the Wii drops it's price now, if they wait too late and Natal is widely known then who knows how it will play out.

True, the HDtwins, individually, barely outsold the Wii, which may mean that the Wii has a different customer base and Nintendo's sales will not be affected, but together they doubled the Wii's sales in America and if this continues the Wii will never achieve a %50 market share.

We won't see a pricecut in the Wii till the end of this fiscal year in march 2010.

Because Nintendo prefers to have less sales and more profit, than more sales and less profit.
For them the units sold are in the background because they actually make profit opposed to Sony and Microsoft that sell their systems for a loss.

That's why my prediction is remaining in mid 2010.

Wii Fit Plus, MH3, NSMBWii and hopefully Mario Galaxy 2 will help drive sales in the first half of 2010.

Not without a price cut it wont

yes thats true but don't you 48% or 49% is basically 50%? I mean why does that matter..Its 1 percent....

Of cousrse it matters, that's what this thread is about.

In other words, you have no grasp of irony. Got it.